Comments by "N Velsen" (@nvelsen1975) on "Anders Puck Nielsen" channel.

  1. And what did he base that on? Has he found a pre-determined plan to kill all Palestinians, like Hamas had a pre-determined plan to rape and murder anyone they met? Don't just lie and screech, provide evidence: Where is the intentional killing? Why are there humanitarian corridors protected by the IDF and attacked by Hamas, for Palestinian civilians? Why would they evacuate the people that you, deceitfully, claim they want to kill?
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  2.  @seanthomas5303  In the end this is all hard to predict since none of us have inside information on Putin's clique or what the clique in power even is. Wagner being destroyed trying to take Bakhmut could be either Prigozhin using the option of a victory in Bakhmut to set himself up as the next führer after Putin OR a powerplay by some general wanting to eliminate Prigozhin's power, who got a majority of high command and his side and told Prigozhin that if there's any of his mercenaries left alive by the start of 2023 AND Bakhmut is not yet in Russian hands, he is likely going to accidentally fall out a window. In that scenario causing as many Wagner casualties as possible is a tool because Prigozhin can't conscript, therefore the end of Wagner troops is the end of Prigozhin's power, thus achieving the goals of his rivals. So killing off Wagner at a staggering rate can be done for two contradicting reasons. I guess the real conclusion is totalitarian dictatorships are difficult to predict unless you've got inside intel about the top levels or you can make educated broad predictions like "Xi Jinping was put in a concentration camp by maoists, his hatred for the maoist faction in the CCP is unlikely to ever stop". But gods know from under which rock they plucked a thug like Prigozhin, so good luck predicting a bunch of people like that all playing at power.
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  3. "This is a bipartisan issue in the United States" Cough, cough, Republicans blatantly taking bribes from Putin to block support to Ukraine. Such as Rand Paul, who was blatantly purchased by Oleg Deripaska. This is not criticism of the video (which is excellent) but 'bipartisan' suggests both parties fully agree. While in reality the Qanon part of the Republicans is pretty much pro-Russia on this. It's clear the Republicans are slowly losing the battle for control over the GOP to the Qanon cult. Look at the battle between Liz Cheney and Marjorie Taylor-Greene over overt anti-semitism. Cheney the moderate actually lost and got sidetracked because she opposed anti-semitic conspiracy theories. It took a concentrated effort by moderate Republicans to also sideline Greene and regain control over even such a no-brainer issue as shouting insane racist conspiracy theories off the rooftops. The Qanon cult is winning, as it results in worrying levels of support for Putin among Republicans.
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  4. What about the Russian 5th column? Russian hybrid warfare is nearly in control or in control of several key countries. Up until the last election confirmed putin-worshippers controlled 10 out of 75 seats in the Dutch upper chamber of parliament. Even after they control 3 in both chambers BUT Geert Wilders, previously proudly posing with a Russian flag and defending the Russian terrorist strike against MH17, is currently forming a government with him in control of the largest party by far. I mean Wilders saw the writing on the wall and hid his Russian flag in 2022, but as prime minister, who knows how much leverage Russia has? Heck, gain control of his stash of hair bleach he uses to appear more 'aryan' and Wilders does all you want. 😆
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  5. But the EU does not exist in a vacuum. Countries also pressure eachother. Germany started half pro-Russian because of putinist traitors within the Greens and SPD who love dictatorship and love Russian gas. Now they're backing Ukraine instead and extensively. It's well-known the Netherlands strongarmed Scholz into that after he first betrayed the Dutch by blocking their howitzers, leading the Dutch to schedule 'routine training' at the range in Germany where they 'accidentally' ran into some Ukrainian artillerymen who were there on 'holiday'. Meanwhile Dutch minister Ollongren was meeting with Scholz (where she presumably beat some sense into him) and after the meeting was over, the Dutch howitzers could go and Germany was sending some of their howitzers as well. And while Greek traitors happily ship Russian oil and stolen Ukrainian grain for Putin on their ships, the UK is so hardcore anti-Putin that they're nearly ready to board and detain Greek sanction-breakers. If any of them formally surrender, like Hungarian dictator Orban has done, they'll be forced back into line by others. Case in point: Poland has put huge pressure on Orban to behave. Both used to be anti-democratic friends, but Poland is hardcore pro-Ukraine and anti-Putin. Hungary needs Poland, so there's only so much sabotage Orban can afford.
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  6. It doesn't matter either way: The reason that missile fell there, is because Russian agression ended up going even inside Poland's borders in the form of terror-bombing civilian targets of which the debris ends up in Poland. That missile was fired at an illegal Russian strike against a civilian target right on the border. Russia is to blame. Not a single person other than paid pro-Russian traitors was going to go "oooh, it was a Ukrainian AA missile, let's blame Ukraine". This kind of goes into the hybrid warfare point though: NATO just went "Ukraine isn't to blame, say it's a Ukrainian missile", ignoring how Russia's lies will try to spin it into a huge thing in their information warfare.
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  7. Yes, they would. Even right now, Greek traitors are using Greek ships to transport stolen Ukrainian grain and oil from the Russians.
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  8. If you look at photos 2017-2021 of people who visited that intake, it's actually quite a big waterway. I'm not convinced a lower water level would cut off the occupied Crimea. Nor have I seen evidence that it would matter, especially not as Russia has reservoirs there. In that sense this terrorist attack Russia perpetrated, doesn't harm Russia.
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  9.  @teblack2  The Republicans didn't care about migration 1980-2023, so how naive do you have to be to believe their excuses that now, suddenly in 2024, it's all about migration? Besides: If they weren't Putin's obedient servants, the GOP would've made a counter-proposal immediatly with BOTH a lot of aid for Ukraine and their fabled 'border wall' (that doesn't work and can't ever work)
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  10.  @klafbang  "Geneva Suggestion" 😉
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  11. Putin destroying Russia to stay in power would be a bad thing.... how exactly? I for one can't wait for a civil war between oligarch/putinist troops and ultra-nationalists. Let them annihilate eachother over the question who Russia's next führer will be. Whoever wins will be so *** that they won't be able to beat even the Liechtenstein army. 😆
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  12. Hi, as someone whose job it is to write angry comments on the internet, I wanted tot his this is a pretty good video.
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  13. I find myself forced to disagree. This was unplanned. The main datapoints for this is the lack of Wagner resistance against the Chechen 'tiktok army' invading from the east (while anyone would've foreseen the Chechen warlord would jump at the opportunity) and Wagner having to move AA defenses in response to bombing (in a planned advance these would be around the Rostov HQ and advance north along with the troops). For me the explanation is Russia is desperately low on manpower. Wagner was able to basically advance 500-700+ km in a day and force Putin to flee from Moscow because what they encountered were mainly Rosgardia units and a handful of recovering former casualties on light duties. Much like Prigozhin himself stated 'anyone who can shoot is already on the frontlines'. Even Redut and Patriot failed to make an appearance, while the private armes of Shoigu and Gerasimov would surely protect their (co-)owners. These would've dropped everything and attacked Wagner, if they had any unengaged strength left.
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  14. We've also seen this in Venezuela in 1999 when the dictator began randomly seizing assets. In the years that followed, whatever could possible leave, did leave and whatever could possibly be sold off to pro-regime sources, was sold off. Investment into Venezuela went to zero pretty much overnight. Turns out people don't like people who break their word, or steal their stuff. And if you can rewrite the law on the spot to say "But it's legal around here", everybody else still says "That's true, but I'm not giving you my money". Anyway, that's how Venezuela became an outcast Russian colony with a totalitarian dictator paying violent goons to stay in the saddle while a legitimate democratic government doesn't actually control most of the country, and the people starve and flee.
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  15.  @LarryB-inFL  Is it though? These drones are maybe 70-110 cm above the water, easily below the crests of most waves. This is why the radar is useful: You can either see EVERYTHING (good luck picking your target) or increase your clutter filter and have an empty screen but not see the drone. A maritime rescue chapter around here smashed their boat across a small quay in heavy weather a couple years ago because they set their clutter filter too high, so the radar was like 'That's a wave 90 cm high, ignore. That's a quay 75 cm tall, ignore. Nope, no objects directly ahead of you, keep gunning it full speed'. Dudes damn near wrecked their boat flying across the concrete . We're still teasing them about it even today. 😆 Your first lesson in radar operation will go 'Once it starts, ensure sea clutter filter is zero, then increase as the conditions require'.
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  16.  @chriscoyne8034  "I don't understand why" That has nothing to do with Anders and everything to do with you, my dear terrorism-loving dimwit. 😃
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  17. When I served we were issued a locked-down Blackberry. Not sure what they did to it, but non-approved apps simply didn't install on it no matter what. And Blackberry phones are banned in 3 countries for being too safe so they can't spy on people.
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  18.  @F15_C  He can't. It's a pallywood hoax.
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  19. It's supposed to suck. And as any drill instructor will tell you (loudly) it's about embracing the suck. 😉
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  20.  @stevengrice1807  It is whatever we decide it is. Erdogan can really use an armed confrontation to draw attention away from his own failings. A limited Black Sea war would be his Falklands. And if Ankara calls London today that the Montreux convention has been suspended due to Russia perpetrating hostilities against Turkey, pretty sure that within a few weeks Russian ships suddenly start exploding in a way that suspiciously looks like they ate a British torpedo.
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  21.  @ericp1139  There is a plan. It's just that Johnson is putting his fingers in his ears going "Nanana can't hear you, lalalala" while it's being explained to him, and then complains he hasn't heard anything yet. Presumably Johnson then goes off to his FSB handler to collect a suitcase with money as payout. This is of course called treason, and several members of the US chambers of parliament such as Rand Paul need to be investigated for it.
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  22.  @Nabium  They don't need to make anyone up: Plenty of people willing to sell their soul for a couple thousand dollars. Look at Gonzalo Lira, Chilean legalised immigrant, unemployed and failing, couple convictions coming his way that'll make him well-acquinted with how a US prison cell looks like. Then 'suddenly' he starts singing Russia's praises and moves to Ukraine where he gets involved in disinformation and human trafficking apparently having somehow raised starting capital for that. He was expendable too: Russia put him in Kharkiv and the SBU was onto him in half a year. After Lira's arrest the Kremlin slammed Ukraine for it within hours, thus basically confessing Lira was their asset. That means they've dozens more losers lined up to take his place.
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  23. Just wait until a war breaks out in the Netherlands.... 😉
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  24.  @dpelpal  But to my knowledge our radars filter by object height same as Russian / civilian ones do, so we'd be stuck with the same conundrum of 'either see 300 blips and pick the drone, or see nothing because of the filter'. And I KNOW from Joint Caribbean Lion that our tertiary weaponry (meaning the stuff that engages small drones shortrange) is just a couple guys with LMGs, same as Russia has.
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  25.  @eaglesclaws8  Yes, but 'stuff' is defined as 'object above certain height'. So your radar can't tell apart waves and marine drones in rough weather as wave crests are higher than the drone. It only works if the clutter is shorter in a 1D height sense than the object you want to see. Which is why nearly all buoys are quite tall (and often lit with lamps): Small ones become a navigation hazard at night because your radar filters them out in rough weather. I've seen two buoys merge into one on my radar, than come apart and jump position roughly 25 meters only to snap back into place later. Couple years ago a boat of the Dutch KNRM rescue group smashed over a low concrete breakwater at night because their radar filtered the concrete object out: It was lower than the waves in the rough weather and unlit. I mean, we're never letting them live that one down, but in reality there was nothing they could've done to spot it earlier.
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  26.  @tomk3732  Sounds like Russian BS. That's never happened during the entire war.
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  27.  @LuminalSpoon  The US didn't randomly collapse. Vietnam ground them down gradually fighting a brilliant war of mobility against a juggernaut trying to refight WW2. And it also shows that you don't need to have the upper hand in battles to win the war. Vietnam suffered staggering losses and rarely achieved much in a direct frontal assault. But they didn't need to. They just needed to hold on and keep popping up all over, inflicting losses and demoralisation, and eventually US resolve broke. During the Chechen Wars, there were armed pressgangs at metro stations in Russia to abduct men for conscription if they couldn't prove they had already served, that's how low Russian morale got. Putin correctly identified that if he declares a war and sends in private Conscriptovich who's forced to fight for $ 30 a month, it'll cost him his regime very soon. That's why the 'special military operation was rigged up' and Russia's desperately low on manpower; They can only tap their regulars and paramilitaries and forced-conscription in occupied areas of Ukraine. They can't just conscript half a million random guys and half a year later show up with a big army; it would crush Russian civilian morale.
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  28. Remember months ago when your heat was cut off because the prices rose Sergei? Babushka has been nagging you about it hasn't she? ....If only you were a democratic country. You could have enough prosperity that your mother could afford her own appartment, and both of you could afford heating.
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  29. Okay Sergei, why don't you show us where NATO countries have deliberately targeted and knocked out 40% of a nation's powergrid during a deadly winter? Go on liar, show us.
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  30. Depends, but forced conversion tends to come with deliberately and systematically destroying the culture and thus nation as well. That would definately be a form of genocide.
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  31. I saw a debate on that early in the war and the defeatist politician got crushed when the pro-aid politician basically went "Name me even a single instance in history where Russia didn't escalate by itself, whenever sheer firepower didn't force them to refrain?" And he's right. Russia is locked permanently in a 100/100 escalation because they simply don't recognize concepts like self-determination or human rights for non-Russians.
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  32.  @daydays12  I failed to see an asterisk in your post covering things like "Except the Dutch who dug into their active stockpile" or "Except Poland that may seem to hate democracy as much as Putin does, but they hate Putin more than anything" or "Except the British where the Tories are strong, and only Labour is weak and has been bribed by Russia".
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  33.  @1conkers1  Nothing besides Trump, who has a record of 100% obedience to Putin within 48 hours of a demand being phoned in from the Kremlin. And in 2016 his supporters were just weird, but now they're more like completely insane frothing-at-the-mouth kill-the-infidels style demons. Feel free to call me a cynic, but if half the US electorate can have ISIS terrorists stammering "....But why so fundamentalist?" there's a problem. Look at the Republican policy about 'Jewish space lasers', a classical anti-semitic conspiracy theory that would've been political suicide 1945-2015. Nowadays Majorie Taylor Greene is defeating the few remaining moderate Republicans who oppose her for it.
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  34. Why would Germany betray two allies to help a bitter enemy? Besides, Odessa comes down mainly to Turkey. If Turkey let's through a bunch of supply ships protected by a US fleet, Putin would be very wise not to intervene since the average US battlegroup can pretty much sink the Russian navy (as in: All of it, not just the Black Sea squadron). But if Turkey doesn't let them through, then nothing's getting through. Since Turkey has demilitarised the straights and refused to let through orc reinforcements, they would be taking a big risk if they play favourites and block the orcs, but do let through US and UK warships. Erdogan doesn't like Russia, but he's not quite ready to seal Turkey off from Russia as things stand.
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  35. Ah yes, I can visit Tibetan-Buddhist monasteries, they're they're own prefecture, everybody's happy, but it's somehow a genocide....
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  36. So.... how do you explain the census showing there's more Uyghurs year after year? Weird kind of genocide huh? And how do we fit in that people only got volunteered for re-education based on a threat matrix based off of stuff like listening to extremist hate-preachers, showing signs of religious extremism etc? Wouldn't you just kill indiscriminately in a genocide? Actually, why are they re-educated and released? Why do Uyghurs show up on the other end of China being given a job and a place to stay? Isn't that incredibly self-defeating in a genocide? Anyway, don't listen to Russian misinformation (Russia invented the BS of 'East Turkestan' during their invasions of China) and to jihadi misinformation. What happened is Uyghurs did that, perpetrated systematic ethnic cleansing against Kyrgyz, Khazars, Han, Hui and some others during WW2, then began being fed hate-propaganda from the Middle East same as happened in Indonesia. Then the Ugyhurs went on a brutal 40 years rampage of terrorist strikes in China. After the massive 2014 Kunming attack, Beijing had had enough and dealt with the problem. Since the problem is islamic extremism, that's what has to go. That's how I walk up to a mosque in 2019 and there's an effing big sign next to it that says "The only correct islam is Chinese islam". They didn't destroy the mosque, or close it, but Beijing wants to make damn sure nobody going in there thinks "Oooh, the nice man from Dubai is telling me to go kill unbelievers, and gives me dollars to do so".
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  37.  @u2beuser714  And Vladimir Putin is a couple months away from becoming the de facto US president, who's riding on the support of a bunch of thoroughly-purged frothing-at-the-mouth yes-men who would back Putin-Trump blindly. The Netherlands was taken by Geert Wilders, who proudly posed with a Russian flag and admires Orban. Hungary fell. Turkey fell. Poland fell to all purposes BUT fighting Russia. France is about to fall to Putin-Le Pen as president. Germany was mostly subjugated with Russian hybrid warfare, specifically costly masses of zero-perspective incompatibles. By extension, NATO is a couple months away from becoming defunct.
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  38. What I noticed in the Russian propaganda: On the long war vs short war video you noted Putin is not trying to make the Russian population politically engaged to increase conscription rates. They actually are trying to create political support in Russia, in a very weird, very Russian way. There's propaganda clips on Russian television now, it's wild. Let me sum up the clip's points and symbolism (so this is not my opinion, but what the Russian clip says, so warning: extreme lack of sense ahead) since I can't link and probably nobody wants to torture their eyes watching it: "You need to support Putin, because if Ukraine wins, gay men will come live in your house, who will fancy your daughter and if the gay man can't find a boyfriend you will have to have sex with him. Then the doorbell will ring, where black guys, who will greet you by dabbing, will tell you that you're conscripted even if you're mid-50's to go fight for NATO and for the gay people who are also all paedophiles." Now I hope we can all agree this is insane nonsense, but that's what the Russian government is telling Russian people. Also the Russian Duma recently pushed through a law that legally makes homosexuality and paedophilia to be the same thing. Putin is trying to portray himself as the shepherd of traditional religious values, and increase mobilisation through that route.
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  39. You continue to change my views on things Anders. I'd seen these strikes as damaging for Russian exports only with maybe a theoretical-only chance at a military fuel shortage (they've been hammering Russian logistics after all). The dimension that they're trying to boost inflation and other problems via fuel shortage hadn't occurred to me.
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  40.  @nzer57  Because dumb putinists tend to shoot down random airliners including their own aircraft. As seen in the Russian terrorist strike against MH17 and the shootdown of their own transport plane in Syria.
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  41.  @obelic71  Hey look everybody, it's an FVD freak telling lies about Kaag because she slammed his racist ** Baudet. Talk about disdain for citizens, I haven't forgotten that your kind wants to put my family in a concentration camp, after trying to murder us by spreading covid deliberately.
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  42. Last week a car crashed into a signpost in Sorilsk. Clearly Ukraine is behind this!
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  43.  @ebrim5013  Others like Carlson have proven links to the Kremlin. Thiery 'Vladimirovich' Baudet (Dutch MP and hatepreacher) for example was caught discussing openly how Vladimir Kornilov (his FSB handler) would pay for things. Which puts him in the same basket as Willem Engel, a mafia boss' son who went full covidiot in 2020 and has since been demonstrated to be ran by Kornilov as well, getting caught in money laundering more than once since he can hardly put his Russian payments in a bank account and spend it as income.
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  44. Iran doesn't have that much oil and barely any gas.
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  45.  @TheTplehar  Ah yes, republican politicians, famously good at concocting military plans. 😆 With huge succes stories like jumping into Iraq with a few weeks prep time. Which went splendidly and didn't result in any spin-off fighting or instability at all. And Afghanistan of course, where the military genius Trump first withdrew all US troops, then as soon as the Afghans explained their army survives through air supply, Trump cut off the Afghan airforce, before Cadet Bonespurs complained that the Afghans weren't fighting hard enough despite having no pay, no ammo, no food, no water.
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  46. According to the media: Palestinian stubs his toe on a doorframe by accident: Genocide! Russians systematically eradicate Ukrainians as an ethnic unit in a pre-planned fashion: Atrocity but not genocide Ukrainian may have alledgedly killed a couple Russians: GENOCIDE! Indonesia plans to eradicate all non-Muslims and kills tens of thousands: Uh, the weather channel? (especially the genocide on the Chinese was ignored) Sudan uses the RSF/Janjaweed to systematically eradicate an entire population: Killing, but definately not genocide because then we'd have to do something ISIS kills 700 christians: Genocide The Erdogan regime kills thousands of Kurds: Uh? Hey look, that's an interesting corner of the room!
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  47.  @shelbyspeaks3287  That's more a thing for WW1 because the British were even pressuring the Dutch not to trade any food in a deliberate attempt to use famine as a weapon primarily against the German people. At least, I hope you're not talking about the racist hoax of India....
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  48. Unfortunately for you, we've documented proven cases of Russian invaders using violence to abduct Ukrainian children, as well as the Russian regime refusing to return them to their parents or other family. Ukrainian abductees have to flee from Russia secretly to see their family again. So brutal violent abductions as a genocide are okay with you, but you believe the dumb Hamas lies about 'apartheid'. Your moral hypocrisy is jaw-dropping.
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  49. Yes, but the Russian campaign of bombings in Spain has escalated to overt terrorism. Also you're not entirely right. Dutch AIVD broke into and monitored the Russian 'web brigades' for months using their own surveillance cameras, you could see Sergei and Dmitri discussing things before logging in and screaming that Biden is evil, Trump will win and yadda yadda. The Dutch further dismantled three Russian espionage rings around 2018. Now this is good, but gives Russia an idea of what we can do in terms of countersurveillance. Although I'm actually shocked Russia doesn't know that if you use directional microphones etc, there's monitoring devices that will instantly show you're being probed. In my therapy group there was a Yugoslavia vet who explained he had to haul a suitcase of that sort of stuff around that was on loan from the CIA, except they had to destroy it when the Serbo-Russian genocide squads rolled in. That was 1995. I'm aware of that, while in intel terms my work was kinda low-as-it-goes, they didn't tell me a damn thing yet I know such systems exist. (and it's not in my contract as opsec even) It's a bit weird how Russia apparently doesn't know.
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  50. There's so many unknowns though, that both arguments could be correct. And so many unknowns that require assumptions by both arguments. In this video too: The convicts mostly left Wagner after 6 months? Do we know that for a fact, or is it in assumption? And what about the contracts we know of that involved 1 month cooldown time after which they can be called up again? Would they not simply have been retained in breach of contract or after cooldown? 5:28 Yes they would've been redirected, possibly / probably into less favourable conditions where Russia couldn't shell Ukraine from 3 directions with impunity like happened in Bachmut's final stage, that's part of Kofman's argument and why it's a good argument: Ukraine could've had better results elsewhere. (could have, not saying would have) But that requires us to weigh the tactical situation of the final 3-4 weeks against the situation if other fronts were reinforced, which we simply don't know. 5:58 And we don't know what would've happened if Ukraine withdraw the last 3-4 weeks. Maybe all that saved manpower would've simply been spent on a harder fight against Russia. Heck, maybe Wagner would've captured Gerasimov and Shoigu if they had 2000-3000 extra guys to start the uprising with, who knows? So is destroying Wagner good? Do we even know who exactly was lost in Ukraine? For all we know many defenders lost their lives in crazy streetfighting while they would've been better doing the same in more open territory. Urban combat tends to be an infantry quality equaliser, and we know that most Ukrainian infantry is superior to most Russian infantry, suggesting Ukraine would have at least one advantage extra if Bachmut have been given up 3 weeks earlier. Kofman's argument suffers from the exact same reliance on assumptions though.
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