Comments by "bighand69" (@bighands69) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1. The options the fed and legislators had are probably several years ago and not today. All it took was the pandemic to put a massive block in the pipeline. And by the time they get that block removed their maybe several ruptures along the pipeline. Nobody can really say what is exactly going to happen but we will get a clearer picture over the next 18 months of what direction things are going.
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  2.  @paulpierce2051  Russia probably has enough weapons that are active for regional warfare but nowhere near the active number for intercontinental exchange with the US. There is also the point that Russia nukes may not have the accuracy required for ground level detonation and may require atmosphere detonation.
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  3. It is a myth that the US has the world's highest rates of diabetes. The US has a diabetes screening program that is far more sophisticated than any of the European welfare state programs. Many of the diabetes profiles today simply would have been ignored years ago and have fallen outside the realm of diagnosis.
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  4. Any Gen Z that is out there and is smart can really take advantage of Labour shortages.
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  5. Also read the book the intelligent investor which shows how normal people can invest. It was a concept that developed during the great depression by Benjamin Graham and later used by the likes of Buffett.
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  6. There is nothing China can do about it other than stamping their feet.
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  7. He is not predicting he is telling you the potential outcomes. I just wish people would listen to what he is actually saying.
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  8.  @nicholascarter9158  His prediction was that Russia would over run Ukraine and that still may happen we just do not know. But that does nothing to forward any real point that you are trying to make.
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  9.  @nicholascarter9158  Peter like everybody thought they would get overrun. I thought the same thing but there is nothing wrong with assuming these things as they are impossible to really predict.
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  10. By the fact that Russia has still not dominated the Ukraine region and had a fail assault on Kyiv.
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  11. That is not exactly the reason why real estate in Canada has gone outside the realm of local buyers but it does contribute to it. The real reason is that Canada is simply not building enough properties and has regulated its self to the point that it is super expensive to build new prosperities. A cluster of flies would nearly stop a housing development today for weeks or indefinitely.
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  12.  @acz88  Even the regions in Canada that are not seeing the migrant influx are having price pressures in real estate. There is simply not enough building of new properties. There is 200,000 homes a year being built in Canada that is not enough for a country with 5 million people aged from 20 to 30 years of age. To over come the shortage there needs to be 600,000 homes a year completed for a period of about 10 years. There are currently 14 million private dwellings in Canada.
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  13. To reduce the effects of the density of the waves of attack it will need to be a kill ratio of that order. The more blood as well the more damage it does to Russian moral. It can also cause a fog of war that the Russians do not see until it is too late.
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  14. He does a lot of speeches, writes books and is constantly on the road. You only have to watch is videos to realize how busy he is. He even does online presentations around the world.
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  15. Who are they every going to sell this hydrogen to?
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  16.  @JohnnyAmerique  In all out war North Korea would get slaughtered trying to storm the defensive lines of South Korea. Artillery is useless without accuracy and the ability to identify targets. South Korea has a larger and more modern air force, better missile system including missile defense. I doubt North Korea actually has nuclear warheads that it could use effectively in battle. It has chemical weapon but no experience of actually deploying them and could just as likely have said weapons produce returns on them. North Korean forces are no where near the level of Russian forces. The technological gap between the South and the North is so vast that it would be one of the most one sided wars to have occurred post WW2. Do you really believe that North Korea has any type of signal warfare?
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  17.  @ivancho5854  I do not believe North Korea which has no economic trade, no native industries or any native technical capabilities has anything near to the numbers that are being claimed. It would be like Russia in that the military force is all on paper but the reality is different. South Korea has a heavy industrial base that is hundreds of times greater than that of North Korea. Blinding firing of artillery is not going to win in modern war.
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  18.  @noahcdmx1985  Are you absolutely certain that is the real debt?
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  19. Germany and Russia were never world powers. They were regional powers that tried to become world powers.
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  20. Fantasy.
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  21. Your teacher has still not been proven wrong.
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  22. You are assuming that the Russian military knows exactly what is going on. There is a culture in their military today of keeping their heads down and not saying anything negative.
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  23. It would be impossible to achieve. To invade America probably is going to take a force off about 40 million and there simply is not enough naval assets in the world that would make that possible. And while that is going on the US probably could get a defensive force of about 100 million with a professional military service personal of about 40 million. It simply is not possible.
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  24. Many people already know of this but it changes nothing.
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  25. PZ does not predict exact micro problems. He has always stated that it is unknown exactly how the Russian military would perform. Most experts expected Ukraine to fold militarily and for Russia to then be bog down in an occupation war. Russia still has not declared war on Ukraine so we will need to wait and see.
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  26. That is only going to cause more problems. The women will have the pick of the best men and probably be better off but that will not translate to a more productive economy. Men are more productive in physical work than women are and that is also going to be impacted. You do not see that many female steel workers or miners.
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  27. They are not working that well in Ukraine.
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  28. The US company that can own the source of the cotton and make it then into products of value will be the winner.
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  29.  @let0atreides  When a society goes into population decline it causes a retraction at the economic level. Russia has done nothing to avoid this or to build their economy out. History has shown time again that populations in decline equal economic decline.
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  30. So you think there is going to be a grid of fusion power before 70 years time? Think about what you are rallying against in your statement.
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  31. That is fantasy. Canadian immigration is based on high skilled college graduates. It is not low skilled working in a sewage system.
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  32. Because most people in their 70s cannot afford to have their nest egg shrink when they need it most. Americans are the only nation on earth with a significant retirement wealth level. Median net worth in retirement is $1.7 million.
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  33.  @Bladeoceanic  Chicago has its issues and the democratic party there are not doing the city any good. Maybe a new class of democrat will come along and be more about freedom and prosperity.
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  34. Mud does not favor the Ukrainians because Russia does not use mobile and varied attacks. It uses a wave offensive that moves in straight simple lines and will use such things as roads and towns to move through.
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  35. Japan is second when it is based on size and technology. UK is second when it is compared in terms of capabilities through culture. In Asian Japan is most certainly the largest and most powerful and that is without argument.
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  36. Turkey has a habit of sticking their fingers in peoples eyes and then later own down the line making amends for it in some fashion.
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  37. Such things are small and could easily be dealt with if they posed an issue.
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  38.  @richardarriaga6271  My statement was not suppose to be a pro Trump statement but to show that Trump came after Obama because of the failed promises of Obama. It is not suppose to mean Trump is great and Obama is not.
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  39. They probably have an arsenal that is 1% effective with the majority of that being regionally capable so it would work effectively against China on the battlefield. They probably then have a very limited number that can be used for intercontinental exchange but nowhere near enough to take out the US.
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  40. Nope. Nothing to do with it.
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  41. Yes it still fits the facts because Summer is not here as of yet. The temperature around Kiev is 3 degrees with rain in the next week with occasional frost. From a combat point of view it will take a few months for it to play out as he is saying in the video.
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  42.  @ande9568  The next week it is forecast to rain and then colder weather. Until it is completely dry solid ground it really means that Russia gets to play their game on their terms but once it dries out and is consistence so then Ukraine gets to play its game. Movement requires a sustain period of dry weather. All Ukraine needs to focus on is defending until they get the opportunity to counter.
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  43. The federal reserve has only one role which is to control the supply of money which can include inflation.
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  44. Batteries are chemically based and those molecules have a lifespan that is subjected the the laws of thermodynamics.
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  45. AMerican has already started the process of manufacturing again.
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  46. Cars can easily run without microchips. American car industry culture also has a history of larger displacement engines meaning if there are no chips they can also go back to pure mechanical systems but that does not need to happen. America is the worlds largest high end chip producer that can easily through some cleaver designs control the systems of a car.
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  47. Then they will have to increase interest rates and destroy the most productive parts of their economy. The political unrest that generates will be enormous. They have a choice to make.
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  48.  @WorldWide-q8v  The figures are pure fantasy.
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  49.  @WorldWide-q8v  Nobody believes the figures.
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  50. That coal energy that germany would have will be several times higher in cost than Gas for the next decade and when they do get their coal energy prices down to near gas levels they will be hitting the demographic wall.
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