Comments by "hugh mungus" (@hughmungus2760) on "Whatifalthist" channel.

  1.  @jwil4286  maybe they can glow in the dark too.
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  2. Honestly it'd probably be easier to just fight WW3 than try to get the left and right to make up
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  3. one huge aspect you can't rule out is the effects of transhumanism and artificial intelligence. For practical reasons I believe China will be the most likely candidate to achieve the breakthrough in human-machine interfaces because of 3 main reasons: Shrinking demographics: more productivity will need to be squeezed out of fewer people Non-human centric belief systems: a lack of moral belief in the sacredness of the human form Determined central government: A government that will go to any lengths to preserve itself, criticism be damned.
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  4. MAD only applies to nuclear armed countries, the number of wars between non-nuclear powers have declined too so he was right.
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  5. Also. space dominance sounds like a non starter. All it would take is for a small space war, or even a sizable space 'terrorist' attack to destroy everything in low earth orbit via the kessler syndrome, Also ignoring the possibility of natural phenomenon like solar flares. The US attempting to bully everyone out of space is just setting up for the US to lose everything when inevitably some country with nothing left to lose shoots down a couple of satellites and ruins the US.
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  6. there would be a debate between the pan green who'd want formal independence and the pan blue who wants to intervene and take back the mainland. And nothing would happen because taiwan is an irrelevant power with regards to the mainland.
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  7.  @hoppingshark7676  History has also demonstrated that democracies ultimately fall to populism and 'strongmen' when inevitably the population gets too divided. Without the CCP the majority ethnic Han will simply elect their own version of Trump. Any attempts at seperatism by the tiny minorities will go about as well as CHAZ or black nationalist movements in the US. Can't innovate? Why do people still believe this in 2021? China is rising fast up the innovation index
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  8. china never posed a 'threat' to the west because it never had the intention to conquer the west. Its was the west that had plans to conquer china for literally centuries and the chinese know this. Why would china cut corners to get ahead? Because being behind paves the way for the west to roll in and repeat the abuses of the past. "Never again" in the chinese sense is to never allow the backwardsness of china to be exploited by the west and any means are justified to prevent it from happening again. Now the rest of what you said is complete crap because I've been to china recently and I know for a fact that things are better than what they were in the 2000s, its night and day.
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  9.  @azmodanpc  You think that might have something to do with Covid? Don't use these extenuating circumstances as some kind of measuring stick. Eventually china will learn to live with covid one way or another and things will eventually go back to normal. in terms of burning a hole in china's budget the annual expense of running china's HSR is less than 1% of the money Biden just signed over to Ukraine for a war that didn't need to happen. So I hardly see it as a big issue. Honestly the concern trolling about chinese infrastructure spending is laughably obvious.
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  10.  @azmodanpc  the bulk of the cost was the up front capital. Which is what all infrastructure projects are like. The interstate in the US which was built in the 50s to this day hasn't broken even. But you cannot immagine a world without it. The US flushing money down the toilet fighting proxy wars absolutely has a finite limit, you're seeing it now with inflation over 8%. Oh? Barely learned how to survive? Being the second largest economy in the world is hardly 'barely surviving'. Cope more.
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  11. That was a fluke in historical terms, nor would it have lasted for long even without the US getting involved.
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  12.  @AbeCastDrums  given the general trend of anti-imperialism in asia as a whole japan would have bankrupted itself fighting endless guerilla wars trying to suppress rebellion in its occupied lands. It would have taken decades longer, but it would be inevitable.
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  13.  @gideonmele1556  yeah clearly a generation of kids 'laying flat' are also going to be the people who fight the bloodiest revolution in human history. Explain that logic.
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  14. the west will be too busy undergoing its own collapse by what this guy posts.
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  15.  @David35687  No Mao did do some of the groundwork like land reform, peasant literacy and establishing the basis for industrialisation. Not to mention develop china's nuclear arsenal to ensure that china never 'realistically' could get invaded again.
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  16. In comes climate change that turns siberia into lush forests in 2100
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  17. The clash between the Turks and Israel would basically bring the US into direct confrontation with them.
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  18. @Kubilay X when turkish influence starts to expand over israeli neigbours that friendship is going to break down pretty fast. Turkish nationalism isn't going to win over the middle east but the idea of an 'islamic empire' lead by the turks might work.
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  19. A revolution to what? A state sanctioned national church under A Putin style 'religious conservative' government? Maybe china should take pointers from Alexander Dugin.
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  20.  @scottanno8861  and yet you people fearmonger day in day out about china. So which is it?
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  21.  @danielscalera6057  Somehow I don't see a military which has been brought up on marxist leninist teachings with a heaping dose of nationalism is going to support a liberal democratic revolt.
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  22. I wonder if he's slink away like a coward and pretend nothing happened when his predictions go wrong too. But hey at least hes humbler than Zeihan in that he prefaces is statements with saying that he cannot actually predict the future with any measurable certainty.
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  23.  @clamum9648  hes like a burned ex-husband with china. Lived high on the hog when he used to live in china then started clickbaiting and got chewed out by his chinese audience. Now he spend his sad existance parroting every anti-china trope he can find.
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  24.  @stcredzero  besides that, he also Loves to take random out of context clips and puts the most diabolical spin to things. Some random person in china gets robbed and suddenly china is the crime capital of the world kinda thing And people lap that crap up becase they're intellectually lazy or already have a dislike for china.
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  25. Applying US domestic political problems to china when you can't even understand a lick of chinese and have zero sources for your claims, is beyond moronic You say china is ripe for revolution yet you cannot find any kind of ideology that would seek to supplant the existing one. Neither empirically or hypothetically. Revolutions happen because of ideological fervor sweeping through a weak existing establishment, not because of an absense of ideological fervor. Yet you claim chinese would turn on a dime and become violent revolitionaries because of said hopelessness. THAT DOES NOT HAPPEN. You bring up taiwan as an example of success yet clearly that isn't going to be the outcome of a violent revolution that kills off hundreds of millions. Do you think chinese people are all Ted Kazynskis?
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  26.  @gideonmele1556  1: The taiping rebellion was lead by a religious zealot who believed they were the brother of jesus. Far from apathetic youth who can't find a job and don't have a girlfriend. If some cult nutjob decided to gain political influence in china today by riding off popular dissatisfaction they would get disappeared faster than you can say 'falun gong'
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  27. a so called 'warlord period' doesn't mean china is going to fracture, its like the '4th turning' in the US. political turmoil but by no means a guarentee for state collapse.
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  28. Tell that to the countless authoritarian states that survived for centuries as absolute monarchies. Maybe the next leader after Xi retires will be less authoritarian but under the constant pressure from the west, china has no choice but to embrace a siege mentality.
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  29. yeah having to work a menial job sucks but what can you do? Should have studied harder at school. Or maybe immigrate to a western country and find out that there aren't any good jobs of unskilled labour in the west either.
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  30. The current trending prediction is multipolarism.
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  31.  @gideonmele1556  you haven't noticed that nobody respects the US anymore? its not a talking point. its objective reality.
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  32. Just a reminder that 'the coming collapse of china' was a book released in 2001 and used pretty much the same talking points.
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  33. its good to keep an eye on the opposition, especially when they're more than happy to give away their game plan. I personally can't stand the alt right, but its reassuring to know they're as clueless as ever and can only espouse platitudes with no Real solutions.
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  34. Excuse me? The collapse of the civilisation state? I don't see china ever stop being chinese or Russia ever stop being Russian. Maybe look at the countries that are being flooded with immigrants and are getting demographically replaced.
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  35.  @StuffandThings_  Great. Han ethnonationalism. thats all the world needs.
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  36. hes hopping aboard the 'china collapse' train for clicks, Im surprised he's not making braindead videos about the three gorges dam breaking.
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  37. Also. have you factored in the effects of climate change? If half of the US becomes functionally uninhabitable because temperatures rise to 120 degrees in summer or cities get swamped by cat5 hurricanes every year how would that impact the US?
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  38.  @JLudwig-c4l  Well if the same fatalism he uses when talking about china applies to the US, then most of the south and the west will be abandoned failed states
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  39.  @JLudwig-c4l  unified? Hahahah, no the Dem-GOP divide is not going away for a long time, and thats assuming no civil war. And climate change will cause a refugee crisis into the US from mexico/central america that will further make immigration to supplement a birth rate thats the same as china's a non-starter.
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  40.  @JLudwig-c4l  the political division is precisely why nothing will get done. Right now, try explaining climate change is even real to a republican. They mostly don't believe it exists and think any solution is 'communism' What political divisions exist in china? I've yet to hear a convincing example outside of fringe seperatist movements in places like Xinjiang and Hong Kong which combined make up less than 1% of the population. As of 2022, the US birth rate is only slightly higher than china at 1.6 vs 1.55, Immigration has also fallen off a cliff and an shrinking number of people in the US thinks that 'more immigrants' is what the US needs.
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  41.  @amerigo88  More likely balloons themselves would be used offensively as advances in weather modelling and AI navigation would allow very cheap, lighter than air drones to be made in vast numbers to loiter over enemy airspace gathering intel and cluttering up radars. Ala. the chinese 'spy' balloon.
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  42. Oh please the George Floyd riots only happened because the media establishment whipped society into a frenzy over it. And somehow I doubt chinese state media would intentionally want to stoke domestic unrest.
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  43.  @WSlopeAggie  The average time it takes for china to 'break' is longer than the entire existance of the US as a country.
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  44. No, think more judge Dredd.
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  45. @@content_enjoyer4458 haha Americans will still call themselves americans but in spanish. The fate of the US is to become just another LATAM country
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  46. christianity in china is a weird case, there are officially some 100 million christians in china and that number is slowly growing but it is a very localised version where it suits chinese beliefs so it could arguably be considered a new denomination.
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  47.  @Newbmann  the question is, what happens no attack happens and instead its a domestic problem. like say, an economic collapse, or another pandemic thats even deadlier than covid. or god forbid. climate change.
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  48.  @Great.Ceasars.GhostX  Yes. Simply by declaring a free fire zone in a ring 50 miles around the coast of taiwan. Any non-PLAN ship entering that zone would be automatically fired upon with antiship missiles the moment it is detected by radar. Commercial shipping isn't exactly stealthy and no commercial ship is going to call china's bluff. A blockade of malacca would cripple shipping for japan as well as the rest of asia. US allies in the region would crumple long before china does. Even a selective blockade would create such a logjam in the straits that it might as well be blockaded. As for japan. Oh china is not afraid of it. Infact china has been secretly hoping for a rematch, Those antiship ballistic missiles aren't just intended for american carriers.
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  49. The US in a few decades will be unrecognisable both demographically and politically.
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  50.  @rickjames18  the US already cannot defend against a large scale nuclear attack by the russians using their old ballistic missiles much less modern russian and chinese hypersonic glide weapons. Zeihan should be selling fallout shelters and survival food if he believes his predictions are true.
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