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Comments by "" (@tomk3732) on "Willy OAM" channel.
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Yes, Zieliński looses legitimacy after no elections take place. So valid target.
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Well we know where Himars was precisely because they got smashed by Russian Tornado and destroyed. This shows very quick ability of Russinas to respond. Himars is no longer safe, it cannot run away.
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Bridge connection is of PR value alone for Ukraine. It would sever connection between Russian regions figuratively.
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Ukraine now is around 25m
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@cartoonfan959 What, F-16s? Yeah for sure.
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Bridge to what exactly? There is only marsh lands there. You suggest they build a road over marsh land while Russians just watch ;)
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Most shot downs are with targets. I.e. They were downed by colliding with a building.
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@Blashmack Both Sweden and Finland are non issue. Both were essentially NATO and adding one or the other or both to NATO is not a game change. Nothing is gained. Not even missile placements as it is closer to station any missiles in the Baltics. I.e. this addition does not really make any change for Russia.
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@Blashmack Consider Finland. 90% of the border is up north, without any roads and in the middle of forests. closest village on both sides is 100km away from the border. It is next to impossible to invade either country from that side. Its not close to anything of importance to either side. Ukraine on the other had is like Cuba for US - it is a problem. I do not think Moldova joining NATO is a big deal for Russia as long as Transnistria issue is resolved. Georgia is of a bigger problem - it is at soft underbelly of Russia.
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@Blashmack Joining of NATO by both Finland and Sweden were strategic mistakes for both countries. Sweden was neutral for 200 years - i.e. long before communism was even invented and back when the memory of loosing against Russian empire was fresh. Nothing bad happened to Sweden thanks to that neutrality - at least one of paper. Finns lost like what is it, twice to Soviets? Each time they lost they paid more. Neutral on paper worked well. Now both are in NATO - means they are officially no longer neutral - thus they will participate in the next war. Why do they want to? Why? Stupid. Consider any nuclear exchange - now they will be leveled same as everyone else. Just plain stupid. I mean consider Sweden - they were neutral when Nazi took over most of Europe - and that did not get them to pick sides - and now little war in Ukraine does??? Really? Also Soviet Union is long gone - there is no Soviet threat anymore - strange as it is, why Fins did not join NATO where there was actual "fear" to be had??? You mean they fear Russia more than ... Soviet Union, LOL! Same deal for Sweden.
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I bet they will get erased by elections. Like they will be goner. So no big deal, these plans will be canceled.
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What will French teach Ukrainians?? How to surrender?
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Please stop using pro UA map. It's not accurate at all.
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@jamescooke7243 No - you need more firepower - you need at least 3x or better 5x the *fire power*.
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Trying not to lie and supporting Ukraine is now impossible.
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Ukraine lies a lot so I would just ignore. Ukraine makes claims each time they loose on the front. Now Russia takes two villages par day on average... Please stop using Ukraine deep state map which is useless.
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We know that if there is WWIII it is unlikely US will be able to transport any troops via ports to EU. We also know EU lost around 1/3 of its weapons in Ukraine. We also know EU is no match for Russia not to mention Russia + China in conventional war. It is clear west cannot go into this war.
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US does not have capability to hit Russia hard with conventional weapons. If it did Russia could now hit US targets back. And we have WWIII. US threats have no meaning. Russians are credible as they have tactical weapons they can employ against any larger NATO force.
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What is interesting we have zero proof North Korean ammo is being used. Also why would western artillery be better in any shape and form? Again, zero proof. Even commander of Ukraine intelligence says any quality difference is meaningless.
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Lol, Russia posted 5.4% gdp growth in 1st quarter of 2024!!!!
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Down voted for wasting my time with use of deep state map. If you know map is wrong, why use it???
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No confirmation. Fake news it seems. Fighter bomber did not confirm any losses.
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@Max_Da_G where???? Who in officially confirmed this???? Who??? Nobody. No one close to actual know how, such as fighter bober guy, confirmed a loss.
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@Max_Da_G The same servicemen were called propaganda tools just few weeks ago when they denied any Su-30 were downed... so which one is it? They are a good source when convenient?
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Yep but not better that BMP. No western weapon system proven to be much better.
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I will keep down voting this guy as long as he uses deep state propaganda map.
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They may actually push Russians back a lot again. So what - Russians will re-take the land. Before Germany was done they also did Battle of the Bulge. So what. The only positive is quicker end to the war.
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LOL, few DRGs are not an offensive. Any attempt to cross the river by Ukraine in force there would be a total disaster for Ukraine. But hey, they can try. It feels more like just them trying to stretch Russian forces before some actual offensive takes place. offensive
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We see in few days if Russia does rapid redeployment.
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@donohirst That is quite a good ratio for UA. Notice ration in Mariopol was around 1:10. For comparison in similar battles US had at least 10:1 ration and frequently 12:1. Sure you can say UA losses are 7x Wagner as well - but I am not so sure about that - mainly b/c UA does have some weak artillery support and some weak armor etc. availability / it is still connected to the rest of UA forces. But hey, I could be wrong, and it indeed could be 7:1 losses as you claim.
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@kingkarlito At least at 4x rate. Mariupol was 10x the rate. US usually has more than 10:1 ratio. Exactly, they take few buildings per day ===> very low attacker losses and huge defender losses. The 4x is very conservative, it could be way more, some claim 6x. There are a LOT of historical examples of heavy defender losses as defender vs. attacker conflict is more based on firepower of each faction. In Bakhmut Russia has at minimum 6x artillery advantage - probably more like 10x. Russian experienced Wagner troops are moving slowly, letting artillery do bulk of the work. Russia also does air strikes around 1 per hour. This all translates into high UA losses. In urban area, all things equal both sides would take heavy losses - but things are NOT equal. Russia has enormous advantage. Imagine guys armed with rifles in open field. Russia has 10 times they guys and attacking. Russian losses would not be 3x UA side - they would indeed be tiny, maybe 1/10 UA side, i.e. 1% vs. 100% for UA side. Same firepower idea plays here. If firepower did not matter in war, we would all just have riflemen - I mean why invest in expensive jets - if they do not give you any advantage or expensive tanks or expensive artillery pieces. Why fire 1000s of artillery shells if its "nothing" as many in the west claim???
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@johanmetreus1268 Not true - best example is WWI, WWII, Stalingrad and even D day landings. Artillery is very good at reducing enemy fortifications. Thus the idea of a siege gun - a heavy gun whose role is to reduce enemy fortifications. During WWI there was constant shelling by both sides - not just at enemy that was moving - but also against enemy fortified positions. One example stuck in my mind is Soviet attack on German positions during WWII. Artillery was used en masse. A group of surviving German soldiers, once barrage was over started running back. A sergeant was trying to stop them and they told him he can stay... well he did not. Artillery is used extensively in cities against enemy positions - again best examples are WWII but also more recent - such as US fight in Falujah. Air power is very similar to artillery - also very useful against fortifications. How else would you smash enemy defenses? What else is there that can go big boom? Artillery and more recently air power are the answer. All the way to cannons banging on the walls of enemy's castle.
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@johanmetreus1268 D day was too quick to remove all defenses. And certainly the big guns helped a LOT. There are examples of German tanks disintegrated by BB guns. Granted this is not a stationary fortification, but certainly more durable than any field prepared position. After WWII a lot of fortified lines were deemed ineffective - until war in Ukraine and other modern wars. Main difference now is that a tank is no longer as effective as it used to be in breaking through enemy lines. Without ability to maneuver we see combat in which artillery rules the day. Also fortifications that are raked by artillery can be re-manned - something we see a lot in Ukraine - artillery kills UA troops, but Ukraine simply sends more - and Russian armor push is repelled. Russia again rakes with artillery, kills a lot, but UA sends quick reinforcements and Russia armor is repelled.
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@johanmetreus1268 You under estimate the power of replacements. I.e. the other side, when heavily bombarded, did not just sit on their hands - they replaced. Neither side in WWI exactly run out of people. Artillery on average, killed 1 person for around 200 shells.
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They need to have sex more. Takes over 18 years to produce a new one.
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Nothing was targeted, these are like V1 rockets, area attack.
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US?!
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Well if you are a Russian fighting for your land and people you are in far better position.
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Russians are running smaller offensive but they do so properly. Thick fog of war, no geo locating stuff - moving forward and accomplishing objectives. This is how you do an offensive. Find a weak spot, attack there, attack on flanks, expand. Well, prepared attack that has gotten Ukrainian side on the back foot and may as well be a total success if they manage to cross the ridge in the next week or so. In July, thanks to that attack, Russia taken more land than Ukraine - for all these pro Ukraine types so concerned with every square meter.
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Zielinski may try to go for a desperate attack onto the nuclear power plant. I mean for god sake, who places mines on the roof??? Ukraine is now on the ropes. In 5 days they will present NATO with total failure.
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Support for farmers!
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@tahulanyon3995 Ukraine was a major Nazi power in WWII. Their leader Bandera was the most ruthless killer of all Nazi leaders. Ukraine had most stringent racial laws of any Nazi power, Ukrainian Nazi did not recognize mixed Ukrainians, they only accepted pure bloods. I.e. Nurimberg laws were seen as too weak by Bandera. Murder of non pure Ukrainians was done with blunt tools, axes, saws, pitchforks. Nazism today is the main political force in Ukraine. Every other video made by Ukrainians themselves shows Nazi symbols. What will be next, claiming Germany does not have deep Nazi traditions?
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Dude, it did have 1m. Now less. Numbers are going down. Same with equipment.
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@LD-pt5ur Oh come on, I seen it - but it looked huge - felt like FAB 1500.
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Main question is.... will we see big arrow offensive in spring / summer of 2024? Will Russia go for the risk of using big push to finish off the war with a big bang?
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@banta-pd8zj 2022 proposal was very generous.
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There are no chances for Ukraine to win, no plan. For Russia, they won there war, they would need an effort to pull defeat for the Jaws of victory.
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When did we see this before? Germany late 1944. Like I said, heavy push by Spring 2024 by the west to get Kiev to surrender.
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Russians long term goal is pokrovsk. They want to take out 80% of logistics. Short term goal is flanking of New York. Ukrainians are on the run. There is a good chance Russia takes next village and make it 15km advance.
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😂 Guy is so delusional, Ukriane will be held to account by Moscow court for a use of anything deemed illegal. Unless they make a deal. Looser is always prosecuted for war crimes.
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