Comments by "" (@tomk3732) on "HistoryLegends" channel.

  1. Russians are counter attacking robotyne.
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  2. They have some poorly trained and armed national guard - but not a lot at all. Basically they have no worthy reserves at all. This is why loosing 20k is ... worse then bad.
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  3. I say over 30k. Maybe 35k. A lot. Maybe even more.
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  4. Russia is waiting for Ukies to go so they know all reserves are committed. Once that happens Russia can go on the offensive. Russia may aim to decisively defeat Ukraine this year. Any Ukraine victory is a setback for Russia. Any Russian victory is a catastrophe for Ukraine.
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  5.  @ernestkhalimov1007  Way more then that - I say they may be going over 70k now. Maybe even 80k. KIA. Russia and her allies are somewhere under 30k. Either that or we have no clue as to what is really going on.... maybe they are all faking it?
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  6.  @curtcoeurdelion  Yes, the one where they lost almost 2000 troops to gain like 1 or 2 villages.
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  7.  @nirad8026  Lots of places. He is all correct. Except the 500 - I also cannot confirm that.
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  8.  @HarryBolzz  Sure, but Ukraine is loosing 100s per day KIA - what about that fertilizer? No need for cell phone giveaway either.
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  9. I said that in April 2022, after failure of negotiations. Then it was confirmed by mobilization of extra 300k.
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  10. Maybe.... or it was a very big gamble. See whatever it pays off or not. I mean come on, they attacked with tiny force.
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  11.  @Shurikmuff  Yes, it was just media making up stories. But a lot of pp think "that was the plan". B/c media is power of propaganda.
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  12. The problem is that this is exactly how NOT to fight wars of attrition. Look at Russians, they value every soldier. By loosing this 20 to 30k Ukraine will be without these people, they take more than 18 years to produce. Tanks much faster. What Ukrainian spring offensive??? With what???
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  13. Best method so far, take posted Ukrainian losses of RF and assume these actual Ukrainian losses. Divide by 2 to get losses of RF and allies. Divide by 3 to get actual Russian losses. Works great. Russia lost between 2000 and 3000 killed. With Donbass forces about 12000 max, probably far less, Ukraine, well over 24000, maybe as high as 30000 for total easily over 100,000 casualties. Russian forces could not loose what is claimed as they simply cannot have lost between 28k to 60k out of a force of 100k ;) Even the 60k seems astronomical if you count allies - Russian force never exceeded 170k. so this on higher end is more then a third! This is as of 5th of May. This is max for Russia. I judge Russians as solid B in performance, DPR a C and Ukrainian forces as a D. I.e. Ukrainian army is mostly a "mass" army, that overcomes enemy with just sheer numbers. Absent the numbers they are lost.
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  14. The fight is to the last Ukrainian. Russia should consider mobilizing more as Ukraine may also go heavily for women. This war is for total destruction of Ukrainian state and Ukrainian people. The main maker of such deadly problem is in Kiev. Russia is doing a good job - they need to continue and increase their efforts. As for Ukraine, they need to start negotiations ASAP or be gone.
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  15. @Ryan I did take into account the accuracy! This is why in the best case scenario it is 100 to 1 while in the worst case it is less than 75 to 1. Russians never stormed any cities stupidly - in fact they avoided cities and only storming was of Mariupol - with about 10x UA losses (as seen in other similar battles where losses are known). Then when front stabilized they changed tactics. Severodonetsk and Lisichiansk were indeed bloody battles but Russians used same tactics as in Mariupol - same as they are using right now in Bakhmut. Here UA losses are massive - we are talking 8x - 10x Russian losses. The idea is now that Russia prefers city combat as it can inflict epic losses on UA in city combat. "they cannot capture even one town" - why would they - it would take lots of losses to take Bakhmut quickly - better let idiot UA to send new brigade every few days to crush it - its an excellent fire bag. Once city is eventually taken next city will be a fire bag. The war is run far more with feelings and emotions on UA side, while on Russian side its calculated business without caring whatever someone will say "oh you guys suck, had to retreat, cannot take a city etc. " - the end result counts. We do know Russian losses quite precisely, plus minus 100 men.
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  16. 12:08 Russians already bypassed parts of Soledar & fight is in that city + Russians are about 1 mile past the road.
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  17. Prizing enemy is good WWII strategy. Making fun out of Russians is idiotic. How will you explain when your troops loose to inferior Russians? How good are your own troops if they win only against looser?
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  18. Ukraine army plans a big surprise, they... surrender :) They can try amphibious landing but as with the Russians they will have huge issues. This would be excellent news for Russia - they will be able to smash a lot of Ukrainians without much of their own costs. Kayaks ... LOL. They cross ... now what? Far easier would be to use say helicopter ;) Ukraine was able to cross for a long time now ;) Some support operations could be done with landings to draw Russians away from the main attack. But Russians are very strong in that sector. Enerhadar is a fortress similar to Vulhedar for Ukraine. Again, light infantry attack on Enerhadar is another gift for Russia.
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  19. It is strange that force in Ukraine right now is tiny - if Putin sent their full available force they certainly could do major offensive.
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  20.  @linzheng5918  Not really === end of the war is good - even it was good for Japan. If war did not end when it did more Japanese would have died and more cities would be smashed.
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  21.  @shawnshazam1912  Not very. It would mean nuclear war. And certainly no more Ukraine. Besides, Russians are liberating Donbass from Ukraine (Kiev regime). So they are doing all liberating right now.
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  22.  @vlasenica18  I do not think they need that many, maybe 500k would be more then enough. They need over 100k for example, to take Kiev. With 250k they could open front on its full length and start advancing towards Kiev. With the other 250k they could advance from the south. Current group of troops would take care of the middle.
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  23.  @vlasenica18  LOL, there could not be as Russia does not have that many soldiers ;) The 30k was conservative, i.e. there were probably less. There were no danger of any encirclement for them. Kiev plan was very ambitious for the Russians. Russia and allies have now deployed like what, 150k soldiers? And they are attacking and moving forward. Ukraine has everything they got deployed. Imagine Russia deployed 3x as much troops plus. What would Ukraine stop them with? Candy? No US deployed far less troops - if I remember correctly the number was around 100k. Also US failed to prevent Serbian air force from flying for like 3 months of Yugoslav war. And we are talking about tiny area surrounded from every side.
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  24. This is the same as for Russia during WWI. Whole units deserting. Maybe Zielinski will share the fate of the Romanov.
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  25.  @thorn6809  Ukraine tanks men UNDER (and at I presume) 60 and 18 and over. There are no Russians equipped with sniper rifles from 1940s. These were their Ukrainian allies ;) You don't really know who is fighting in this war, do you?
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  26. They need to get mobilized troops onto the front line. Patience. You can already see Ukrainian offensive slowing down. In few weeks it will stop and we have reversal during the winter / spring.
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  27.  @djambox1439  Why do you think Russia will loose the gains? Nothing suggest any major changes in the front line for the next few weeks or a month plus for both sides.
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  28.  @idkwhattonamethisthing6851  Sure, Ukraine may wait a week but it will not change things. Besides, we have videos from the captured places - hard to deny.
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  29. So what - AFAIK its not draw down of US military - so it will arrive when - in 2024???
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  30. 100s of millions!
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  31. Just some small tactical game play. Russians still slowly advance and Ukrainians still slowly move back. It can be Ukrainian counter offensive - far less glamorous than expected.
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  32. Lol, despite desperate attack Ukraine got exactly zero villages. In two months.
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  33. Special evacuation operation ;)
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  34. It's Gdańsk. My family is from the area. Before a holes like Hitler people of German and Polish ethnicity lived in peace. They intermerried and all was good. It was nationalist elements that broke things.
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  35. But there is no big city to get the stuck. Sloviansk is the biggest left (and Kremators) but they are not large, just touch bigger then Izium, 100k cities.
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  36. 12:12 option 3 - every man for themselves. I.e. total disarray. Russians should push hard west - even with 1000s of Ukrainians there, they may be disorganized. Push them.
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  37.  @davidgmillsatty1900  It was more like 30k plus not even 40k. It was a gamble and it failed.
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  38. Ukrainian side casualties are huge. They had lost tons of equipment captured. At least 150 tanks by now. 100s of other items. I assume their total tank losses (permanent) are now at around 900 tanks plus few hundred in repair. Ukrainian losses are truly epic. On one video made last week one sees a huge ammo depot captured. Their is like more then 10x the amount of ammo then what US sent to Ukraine! On anther video (which since I have hard time finding) I saw at least 50 vehicles captured, most AA systems of all types.
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  39. Actually the coat here is much cheaper. The reason is that they are out of fashion thanks to these animal rights groups.
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  40. The ideocracy of Ukraine and her traveling artillery ;)
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  41. Russia will eventually reach Dnipro if UA does not surrender. The question is when. Remember Germany surrendered in WWI without much front movement. We may see UA surrender in the same fashion. We may see Russian major offensives..... Or not at all. I am 80% certain we see west push Ukraine by Spring to surrender.
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  42. They are fairly well trained and have much higher morale and motivation as they are on the home ground vs. Ukrainians that are frequently 1000km away. Also clearly winning gives you a morale boost.
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  43. They are sending everything they have to the front. equipment, men, everything. Their reserves are paper thin.
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  44.  @ni9274  Pushed back? where?
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  45. There is no talk of how many vehicles were recovered. A mine damaged tank is not destroyed - its tracks are blown. Heck even BTR or BMP can be fixed after a mine. No problem. They simply need to recover these and repair.
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  46. I think its now runaway train. There is no solution other than ending the war. Having rear units will not work as they will be regular battles with retreating troops or more corruption. Same with police battalions. Remember imoerial Russia. Did not work there will not work here.
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  47. China will eventually take Taiwan. Question is when. Will it be 100 years or 5 years. China is not ready yet. They need to have more supremacy VS. US. This is not a war vs. Taiwan but US. US wants war now. China waits.
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  48. Maybe. But I said with medium confidence, maybe 70% Ukriane will surrender by Spring. Or at most before US elections. Does it mean we are in end game?
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  49. This is what Russia is aiming at. Sure Ukraine can have success, but Russia will eventually push them out. But Ukraine cannot take back Donbass. War could end even this year with total UA defeat.
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  50. No he just added few zeros.
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