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Comments by "" (@tomk3732) on "Military Summary" channel.
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News from US - no to 60B for Ukraine. Zielinski mission failure.
110
Ukraine is making a big mistake sending all of their reserves into failed offensive. They have no reserves left after this and will not be able to stop any Russian offensives.
109
As stocks for S-300 are running low and these systems cannot be operated with stocks for Buk and other systems also at record low Ukraine may soon be a prime target for attacks by classical gravity bombing.
59
I disagree with Bahmut - its not some kind of battle Russia needs to win - all they need to do is bleed UA there - they do not fight this with emotions, land is optional - they can attack in other areas or even not at all. The aim is to pressure Ukraine, not to win a city.
47
Lets hope UA continues to hold to it for as long as possible - taking epic losses in the process - such losses quicken end of the war.
36
Nah Ukraine still has lots of meat left to throw into the grinder. It will not be over too soon. I think Russia should do a larger offensive to smash UA a bit - maybe that will force them to the table.
32
The war entered "Syrian" phase where Russians mostly support DPR / LPR forces. As long as progress is made, they seem happy.
31
This "terrorist state" idiocrasy started by US is like cancer. One should go back in time and stop US from ever starting this trend.
28
" Works and installations containing dangerous forces, namely dams, dykes and nuclear electrical generating stations, shall not be made the object of attack, even where these objects are military objectives, if such attack may cause the release of dangerous forces and consequent severe losses among the civilian population" Nothing broken by Russia - Ukraine on the other hand is playing with fire shelling that nuclear power plant.
26
No one is unblocking any ports. The operation is pure PR. I.e. The aim is to do another Krynki operation.
23
Question is why Ukraine is bombing Donetsk so hard. Why this provocation? They want to get Kiev bombed again? Maybe hard this time?
23
Eh Zielinski cannot do much now. Attacking Transnistria, attack there would mean Russia would need to take Odessa. Moldova could not join NATO as Russia would not allow this. States at war cannot join NATO.
20
@InOffTheRed Umm, but its not the Taliban ;) The comment was about the other guys ;) Taliban were created to fight the Soviets by the US.
20
There is talk of 9 missiles downed and 76 going through. Over 1 million households lost power.
19
I am not so sure about things being much easier for Ukrainians. Before they could travel with pontoon boat. Now maybe helicopter. Nothing can cross. It will take along time for things to dry. And even when it will, it will be an open plain without any cover for many km. Still with a river in the middle.
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That actually would be a good idea - Afghan legion.
17
Its a total mystery as to what Russians are doing. Why Russian army left the area and only DPR forces are there?
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Decision was 100% correct on Putin side but done late - possibly due to Covid 19.
16
23:42 - they cannot easily attack as you show on the map - there is a lot of water there, thanks to Ukraine, that protects Zaporozia. They have to attack from far to the right - which they already did few times. Ukraine is too weak to do much of offensive operations. They did not do any major offensive in the entire war. How do you expect them to do this now, when they have been bleeding and running out of equipment after 3 months at war?
16
So what is the UA game by crossing Dnipro river? They just want to stretch the Russians? PR campaign? What? Seems may be a bit of both.
15
Russians have to move forward - they have the momentum. Its time to thrown in all reserves and push on or a lot of Ukrainians will run at night. If Russia pushes they may end up in less then a week near Bahmut defense line - i.e. all of Luhansk will be taken.
15
NATO satellite took picture of a delivery not yet loaded into bunkers or ammo that was taken out. That was hit and boom, it goes off as well as the nearby bunker stuff. As others pointed out it could be train with ammo. Each train car is like 80 - 100t of explosives.
15
So the Russian plan seems to be this: - reach with current force and take Sloviansk - Krematorsk line. - propose peace to Ukraine in return for land - if Ukraine / west refuses Russia will mobilize and will take out Ukraine (all or at least half)
14
Crossing Dniepr for Ukraine would be a suicide. They can send commandos or DRGs but crossing with armor would be idiotic as they have no way to support logistics for these. Russia would be very happy with such outcome as they could give Ukrainians major losses.
14
Yes, this is one reason I love this channel - they are far more reliable and faster then everyone else. Other channels should do similar - ignore the side that is loosing - the lie. In AM - AZ war I was routing for Armenia but quickly I noticed they plainly lied - lied a LOT and all the time. Loosing side does that. So this is why its a good idea to concentrate on Russian sources.
13
Russians better install 2 or 4 more MG on these recon ships.
13
But it is theirs - at least Donbass is - better question is why Ukrainians fight for it?
13
Well, its working on a lot of generators. Its not really working and capacity is dropping all the time even after fixing it. Look at sat pictures at night!
11
You do not get the war and what it is about. The war is not about land - the war is about ticking checkboxes in Russian goal sheet. So far Russia is doing great and is on a very clear path to victory --- which is achieving all goals of the operation. Take Bahmut for example, Russia forces there are happy to not even enter the city for months - all Ukraine has to do is hold it and suffer huge losses. Take all of Ukraine, Russia does not need to go for some large military offensives - all they need to do is keep fighting and keep the lights off. And just like that they are seeing huge movement towards ultimate victory - millions are leaving Ukraine never to come back, by spring Ukraine may have just over 20m people! And what is that 20m - most of these are retired and elderly. Ukraine as a state is gone.
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Well, they are making progress in Bahmut for the first time in few months. Also maybe UA is simply running out of people.
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Russians could also start partisan operations in Ukraine....
10
Ukraine has (had) strongest air defenses in all of Europe. Even stronger then Germany. At least 4x as strong as Poland (maybe more like 5 or 6x). Also US lost like 70 aircraft over Iraq - so they took some losses.
9
@volkanyilmaz8068 Afghanistan was more then 30 years ago. When Soviet Union was around they went hand in hand with US. But as soon as it disintegrated Russia did far and wide less fighting. If you see what US "left" after it left some places you see it no different then a lot of Donbass.
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@volkanyilmaz8068 No one is a good guy - look at what US did in Falujah! What US did all over Iraq and Afghanistan! what we are talking about well over 1 million civilians killed!
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I recon that US / Germany / France will send around 50 units each. Neither Germany nor France can send a lot - France cannot send more than 50 b/c they have about 50 replacements ready right now. Germany is in similar situation. Only US has lots available.
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Ukraine is now badly running of Air defenses. They will soon have none left.... Russians are finishing them off now.
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Not really. Look at the numbers. Nothing of significance.
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Maybe, but at what cost? Ukraine cannot replace these losses. Russia just need to continue the combat and see Ukraine disintegrate.
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@anglet64 Nah, for emergency use they have missiles. They certainly are making them right now. The NK think is a joke. Russia did not even burn 1/4 of their Soviet stock yet. They are simply not taking out these bridges as there is no need to do so. There are no forces in Kharkiv.
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@rickden8362 They been on the edge of that village for few weeks. entered it few days ago and now are in a center of a village with like less than 100 houses. After the village there is another village and only after that village they are at the defensive line. This is a total disaster for UA as they committed now 90% of their forces. They do not have almost any reserves. They are taking massive casualties for nothing. What big breakout - for Russia you mean? Yes, there is now open talk about the offensive.
8
The Russian problem is short 6 (or even less) contracts. This is all nice and good for a short war - but not so good for multi year war. Imagine you are Russian from Sibera and you sign up for 6 months. In these 6 months you make more $$$ then at your regular job in 2 years. You enjoy your $, buy a car etc. Why risk another 6 months? Maybe once you run out of $$$ but not immediately.
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Well, Mr. Z claimed 1 million army, so I guess they have lots of reserves. Also Russia pulled back a lot of troops - a LOT of troops.
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But Ukraine had for a long time 80,000 troops around Bakhmut. So nothing changed. Or do they now have 160,000? Personally I do not think Ukraine is capable of anything major - they may try but are too stretched. They do not even do too much counter attacking. Their forces are on back foot all over the place. Even if they did attack there is no supply for a follow on. Russians can loose land but can retake it. Ukraine cannot.
7
They elected a comic - dude knows how to keep TV ratings high, so you see strange war.
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@justsilas37 Ukraine sent 90%. Russia did not even had to use any reserves ;) In the north its not an offensive - its tactical movements. They are aimed at drawing UA in. Even that has worked as Russians are moving every day. Facts on the ground are easy to see on video. We have villages defended by Russian company size units, assaulted by whole UA brigades taking epic level losses. Why is Russia doing poorly? They are doing great! Look at the massive losses they are inflicting on the enemy. For one small village we have over 30 vehicles in the village destroyed. At least double that outside. Ukraine lost more vehicles then houses. Ukraine lost about as many vehicles as there were defenders!
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LOL, Russian sources reported loosing the city before pro UA map was updated & he reported loosing cities that pro UA map still shows as under Russian control.
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Less than 1sq km left to be liberated.
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Russia needs to use more and more its air power. More. Much more. Even at a cost of temporarily weakening other areas of Russia. Also partial mobilization may be needed to put an end to any future Ukrainian offensives or hopes of victory.
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But clearly Ukraine is loosing more.
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As I said, they will capture around 10 villages. Russians in this area may be slowly pushed to their defensive line - still like 14km away.
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