Comments by "" (@tomk3732) on "Military Summary" channel.

  1. Ukrainians are on the run. Some report even over 200 sq km. But 120 confirmed.
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  2. During WWII, time of great mobilizations, the absolute maximum mobilization of Poland, a country of 36m at the time, was set at 1.7m this was the absolute max. Poland did not plan to get that high in 1939. Using same logic, a much smaller Ukraine can count on 1.2m max, maybe touch more with extensive use of women. They are quite maxed out right now. Also using WW2, keeping an army of even 10% of population at the height of the war seemed super difficult even with large number of such 10% not deployed in the first place.
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  3. There were only 6 trucks burned. Even if all were loaded with troops that is 120 soldiers or so. Let's not over estimate the possible losses, it was not a battalion on these few trucks :) It feels like a company made up the convoy and half of it was erased.
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  4.  @fv5855  Pisky has been under Russian control (all of it) for few days now. UA live map is pro Ukraine so they do not show that. About 2/3 of Marinka is taken. Ukraine has NOT made any gains in Izium bridgehead. Few days ago Russia destroyed 20 Ukrainian ammo depots. Russia won this war about 3 months ago. There is no turning the tide. Ukraine lost the war. Russia moved the war into full Syrian mode where most of the fighting is not done by Russians - just support. A 10:35 Russian map shows Pisky fully taken - make sure that if you claim something you assume someone will check ;) Same as your other video time stamps ;) Ukraine cannot turn the tide b/c they are not in control of anything. Russia is. They can send Russian troops back in as they wish or keep it nice and slow.
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  5.  @Itoyokofan  Negative. I read a book about it - long ago, published while Stalin was still alive. They sent a LOT of reserves to keep Germans busy. If they did not and were defeated it is very likely almost within a day Germans would start to re-deploy and thus encircling them may be much more difficult.
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  6. Zieliński is now dictator of Ukraine. I am sure people will give example of 1944 no elections in UK. But Churchill was far more popular and nowadays we have more election options than in 1944.
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  7.  @candykane4271  RA is moving forward in Bakhmut slowed down by the mountains of dead UA meat they have to remove. What is it now - over 1 battalion per day? Soon UA troops will need to be put on endangered species list - with idiot Zielinski at the helm they will all be killed.
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  8. Well, Ukrainian troops are out in the open - if they can use their air power that can do a lot of killing. They can also see whatever they can cut some of them off.
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  9. Half a million is a lot. I would be shocked if it was more than 300k. The 300k would be ready for winter offensive. 500k is too many to get ready for winter.
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  10.  @antonyjh1234  You are doing same as Ukrainian guys stating they can have millions mobilized. Come on. Do not exceed WWII numbers please ;) 300k is a lot as many are not as experienced as first batch of 300k Russia called in and it took months to integrate everyone other than these that just left active combat (around 70k). So another 300k will take at least as long as previous 300k - given previous 300k had 70k component that just finished contract in Ukraine & did not need much retraining. So it was more like 230k. Also do not value so much the "old" training pp got - it is more or less of little use - army runs on conformity - i.e. some of the guys in their 30s will be fit and able + remember how to use a rifle etc. some will be fat and drunk. You need to make them into one cohesive mass without assumptions - so all need to go get retrained. In addition you need something other than say "light infantry". Tankers. Artillerymen. These will need more detailed refreshing of skills. Say for your tank core, you will have T72 commanders that worked in a training center 10 years ago for few years. These guys would be OK with little refresher - but you also have guys that only occasionally were in T72 - once in a while - these need almost total training. Easiest is to put them through lots of training to make sure they are on the same level.
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  11.  @stavrosaristidou5779  The propaganda move is simple, set expectation that Russia will do impossible. Claim it was not done thus Russia sucks.
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  12.  @justsilas37  it tells me there are smart. They are using small number of elite troops to fight super costly for the enemy war. Ukraine has according to some 2 according to other 3 brigades in reserve on while Zaporozia front and most of Donbass. I have no idea why Ukraine fights this way, but I am assumed they are victim of their own propaganda. Russia does not care, they fight as their military sees best. I still cannot see how Ukraine can win with epic level losses. How can anyone claim UA can win then they moved only few km and lost confirmed in video huge numbers of troops. Please enlighten me. Please show me your reasoning. How can you win when you have 5x plus smaller country with no production capacity when you loose 100 vehicles to take one small village and your enemy now has so many cheap drones they can attack single soldiers with them. How? Please, I honestly want to know.
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  13. Production to start in 2025.
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  14.  @ragnarthegr842  Same just cause. Just in reverse. Both sides are dying for their land. This is why the war is stupid. They simply should get land of where they live. I.e. Russians get Russian land and Ukraine get UA land. Thus I have no idea why Ukraine wants to fight in Donbas. Zero idea.
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  15. Eh, what will one nuke do - Russia can deploy over a 100 over Ukraine and smash all industry and critical infrastructure + any military buildup.
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  16. Problem is that Russia is not there - at all. This is a total mystery.
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  17. What he means is https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barrier_troops Given dozens of videos of UA troops as well as whole battalions getting arrested (videos) I would not be shocked to see it here. Probably the best solution for these troops is to surrender.
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  18. The PR desperation on Ukraine side is heavy.
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  19. No, it's 151. Without any Ukrainian regions. As per census.
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  20. Z man needs to go. His usefulness is gone, it expired.
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  21. 😂😂😂 How about 1h or less, that is the time needed for nukes to fly. In conventional war NATO looks weak.
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  22. About 90% of missiles were downed and about 100% of drones. This does not include proxy forces.
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  23. How can it be when Russians are like next to Slaviansk already.
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  24.  @bojkecbojkec9739  Unless your username is tricky you are somewhere from former Yugoslavia. Only pp quite close to Serbs were from Montenegro. But its not in EU. You say you are NOT ethnic Serb. Hungary has strong PM === government. Its president is of no power. Others in former Yugoslavia are either not big friends with Serbs or not in EU. Greece?
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  25. As usual in the past few weeks Ukraine took around 3x to 4x higher losses, visually confirmed.
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  26. They probably do not have enough - they are sending some of them to slow UA forces down. What we are seeing is reverse of the 1st month of the war.
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  27. No, the number of strikers is a few dozen. Not 200 :) The total number delivered is 213 or so.
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  28.  @albertolira666  Well, then Russia will need to secure peace through elimination of Ukrainian nation state.
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  29. Lol, and how many feet would Abrams move in that terrain? Or wheeled AMX? On the plus side Russia would have hard time recovering that captured western armor.
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  30.  @marionschrotter7065  LOL, "there will not be another 4800" - are you sure? Russia has fired around 1000 missiles since October. So they are using up around 500 missiles per month. This means that if the war lasts this long Russia will fire up another 5000 missiles or so in about 10 months. The idea Russia is running out of missiles has been talked about for months now. If the war lasts another 10 months I do not doubt Russia will use another 5000 missiles if there are targets for them.
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  31. I bet what is going on is that Russia moved out of the area and Ukraine just punched hard into empty air.
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  32.  @balkinavian  What videos - there is almost no combat in Kharkiv area - it looks like Russians moved out and Ukraine is engaging screening forces only. There are whole villages across the river with no one there - not even artillery spotter.
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  33. Lol, dima, they cannot attack Moscow with big drones as these are easy targets for air defense. Small drones are hard for air defenses as they move like birds and are similar size. Also testing with small drones of air defenses does not translate to large drones or missiles.
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  34.  @fv5855  And indications are they will end the war with political agreement solidifying full Russian victory. They are on a clear path to such solution.
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  35.  @frankthetank5708  But they are Ukrainians - you mean they need to leave Russia controlled territory? Russia and her proxies never actually forced anyone out.
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  36. It's actually 8, it was already legislated... So empty handed.
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  37. They sure build a lot of ammo capacity starting in 2014 for a war that you claim was to last just 3 days 😅
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  38.  @KSmithwick1989  They were hoping for a quicker operation - and their hopes were confirmed with Ukraine placement at the table in March 2022. Then UK sent their PM and convinced Ukraine that economic sanctions and western help will enable Ukraine to take back Crimea. Ukraine leadership made a mistake and ended negotiations with Russia. Russia was prepared for such turn of events - and switched to "long war" plan. Traffic jams were part of psych op - nothing related to logistics. After all they had no traffic jams for weeks to move out - and managed to do so multiple times in under 24h. Which also points out to low number of troops involved. BTGs failed mostly b/c it is too small unit to have proper support all over the place. In Ukraine even brigade structure failed - and Russia went all they way to division.
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  39. We going to see actual loss in at most two weeks when all the "dead" reporting comes in from the west. I would be shocked if Russians lied as they know it comes out rather quickly. Still 63 is a massive blow - that is about double daily average!
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  40. I think the fact Ukrainians are not saving whole brigades, allowing encirclements etc. Shows command is under political boot. Also the relative ease with which Russians move shows that the front is collapsing and if political boots do not see this they will loose the whole grouping of troops in Donbas salient, not just one or two brigades, but all troops to the east of Bahmut. We may also see sudden snowball where the front rapidly moves even more towards west. Similar to German collapse during operation Bargation.
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  41. Russia already has forces in the area. Also Russia can move forces from zapaorzia and back faster then Ukraine can from Kherson to Zaporozia. Also i do not think few DRGs will get a big move from Russian side. It would need to be a large attack.
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  42. Nah, its war. Such sentiments are for peace time. They will destroy everything - it can be rebuild.
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  43. Umm, no, not even close. Like big no no. There was a video there by PL like yesterday, and he heralded it as one of the first targets taken. He did not even have bullet proof vest on. So well outside any artillery range.
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  44. It takes about 50 152mm shells to kill Ukrainian. Which is at say 200 usd per shell around 10000 usd per Ukrainian. So anti personell drones with say 2 drones to kill a man would need to cost at most 5000 usd each.
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  45. Sure, like US could not take out Japan in 1945 :))))) Japan was supposedly an "empire" yet US was planning amphibious attack. If Japan could be invaded so can Taiwan which is much, much, much weaker. Taiwan vs. Ukraine in 2022 Feb - Ukraine is by a WIDE margin more powerful ground army. Not even close. I say over 2x the power, maybe 3x. Taiwan main advantage over Ukraine is airforce. 4 does not make any sense. 5 is speculation based on zero facts 6 well, then they will die - it does not matter what they want or whatever they die or not, military only matters. Today I say it would be difficult for China to take Taiwan, in 5 to 10 years not so much. Its inevitable that Taiwan will rejoin mainland. The only question is time, will it be in few months or 100 years?
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  46. They have very good wifi in China. You can get a card for your phone with like 100 GB for few dollars. Very cheap and very fast internet access.
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  47. Mobilizing 18 year olds is an act of desperation and just prolonging inevitable.
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  48. China and Russia could try 5 million army, maybe US.
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  49. This is like 1944 Germany. They want to remove Hitler as they believe they can do better than him. Same with military in Ukraine. But the truth is that Germany in 1944 lost already, same as Ukriane of today. Installing military leadership will not change the war much.
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  50. For Ukraine to even touch Crimea they need to either attack from Zaporozia through multiple lines of defense with a lot of Russians or cross Dniper river. Thus taking out bridges from Crimea is nice distraction of Russian logistics but one has to remember Ukraine would need to cross Dniper river itself - how do you do this - paratroopers? Even if how would you build a bridge to support them? Its not like Russians do not have means to take out a pontoon bridge. Even if Ukraine were to move onto Crimea Russia would simply do another 300k mobilization and retook any land lost.
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