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Grenade Tennis
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "Grenade Tennis" (@hughjass1044) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.
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@goenzoy712 No. As I told you, the subject comes up every few years and it always gets dropped because everyone realizes it wouldn't even begin to come close to being worth the cost. The bigger issue is that it's simply not needed. Canada doesn't need a northern port. We have plenty of perfectly adequate ports on both the east and west coasts (and the Great Lakes as well) so another one on Hudson's Bay would be a hideously expensive redundancy which no one would have any reason to use. The NW Passage may become a useful secondary transit route between oceans someday but it'll never be a route by which anything comes to or goes from our own country because it's hundreds of miles from where the people and the freight is. The only possible rationale for constructing new port facilities anywhere would be if you feared you might get shut out of existing ones and there were very few other available options and that's never going to happen. There have been feasibility studies done on constructing / expanding facilities right on the coasts and every one of them has come back as a hard pass.
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Great content as always, Peter but please.... sit a little closer to the mic next time.
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I feel genuinely cheated by NOT seeing Peter on that zip line.
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China and Russia - "What are you going to do about it?" I guess that's the key question of the day, isn't it? What ARE they going to do about it? Both of these actors are banking on the US and its allies being big talkers but small doers. Recent history has given then ample reason to feel this way. I guess we'll see if they were right.
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Is there any possibility this could be a withdrawal under a negotiated ceasefire?
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@rtgsamples OK, let's start right now. Educate me. Explain to me how they would prevail against the combined might of Israel and the entire western alliance. Remember, the comment at the start of the thread mentioned WW3, not some regional skirmish involving a few rag-tag proxies. This is the big show we're talking about.
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UTubeFekUrself Not surprised at all and glad to hear it.
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Interesting times!
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@IzzYonWheelzz There was no malintent in his use of the word cheap. You and many others just chose to interpret it that way.
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@Vercixx I know what he said and I'll agree, he didn't word it very well, which he's sometimes guilty of doing, but I understood the larger point that he was trying to get across. I think that most people will know from folklore if nothing else, that Transylvania is mostly Romanian; even if like myself, they're not very familiar with the place. But furthermore, how the hell do you know what he was referring to? Are you psychic or something or are you wired into his brain somehow? Have you never misspoken in your life? You perfect or something?
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@Graybeard_ Well, I'm not too worried about trying to justify myself to any so-called "God".... that supposedly all powerful, all knowing creature who still allows copious amounts of evil and depravity in the world. If "He" is that concerned about them, let "him" do something about it. He's the one with all the power, not me.
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What the people bitching about all the stuff we're sending to Ukraine... or at least a good chunk of them... are really upset at is that their man-crush Putin is losing. They're too chicken-shit to come right out an say it so they build all kinds of straw men like - "Oh my God, the cost!!" or "We're running down our supplies!"... as if they actually gave a flying f*ck about either of those things. If we sent Ukraine bi-planes, muskets, swords and horses, they'd still bitch but if we sent Putin 500x the amount we're sending Ukraine, they'd be dancing a jig.
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Peter - Please do NOT do a video explaining to us why you got your '24 election prediction wrong. Way, WAY too many of them out there already. You forked up; leave it at that.
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I look forward to the video Peter makes about some country or other's brewing industry. Probably in a tavern somewhere with a bunch of bottles lined up on a table and everybody taking one as they walk by while Peter gives them the evil eye.
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In politics, there is partisanship. There is loyalty. Sometimes it's blind, excessive, ill advised and over the top. Sometimes there are even unfortunate consequences from it. That is just the nature of the game. But in my experience, there has always been a sense of duty as well. Often not enough, often compromised by personal agendas but never fully broken. There have always been a few (enough?) people with enough honor, decency and integrity to stop people from stepping over certain lines. It's pretty clear that world is gone. It's fair to ask why some of these people ever agreed to work with this "person" in the first place but that aside, we are now well past the point at which certain individuals; if they had one shred of honor, would have resigned. Since they have not done so, we may safely and accurately conclude that they are as bad as their boss.
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No.
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I know what I see and the last several videos he did from Colorado hiking trails were quite a bit snowier than that and Peter was dressed a lot warmer. @Nalololol
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@SeanEustace-zk3mc Just s bit of friendly advice for ya...... Take it for what it's worth. Hit the "Enter" key once in a while. That makes paragraphs which turns an oversized blob of letters on the screen into something readable. Just sayin'.
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"Was that a win?" LMAO!
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I'm sure the Germans are smart enough that they know all this already. I've been saying since the first day of the invasion that all this high sounding talk of western "unity" is just that... talk... and it's all going to disappear very soon. It's the easiest thing in the world to yammer on about how committed you are to Ukraine and freedom and democracy and blah, blah, blah when it's high summer and nobody's home needs to be heated. It's quite another thing to do so when the winds of winter start to blow and the gas has been turned off. Europe couldn't quit Russian gas for at least a decade even if they wanted to because there are no adequate replacements in place and they will take years to come up with. That's assuming that they even want to find solutions and I remain unconvinced that they do. It's always been the European way to cop out and take the easy route. Putin has Europe by the balls and he knows it.... and so does Europe! 75 years, America has been underwriting European security and what do they have to show for it? I say screw the lot of them! Cut the bastards loose and let them fend for themselves.
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Wow!! SOOO many people who present themselves as smart and in the know still talking about any of this like it's going to happen. It's bluster, people!! Haven't you figured that out yet? So many Trump haters but they keep taking the bait, walking right into his traps and falling for every ridiculous, loose cannon statement he makes. Is this what Trump Derangement Syndrome looks like? He's supposed to be so dangerous and all anyone's done is first turn him into a hero, then into a martyr; all while running a DEI candidate against him. Isn't it time to take a different approach?
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@JMM33RanMA Whereabouts in NE do you live and where were you in the Middle East? Spent some time in both areas myself.
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@Skunk106 P.S. Another name which popped into my head was David Suzuki who gave a presentation at the same college on climate change from a geostrategic and global security standpoint. Not one of my favorite people for other reasons but much of what he said then ('90 or '91) has come to pass and links nearly perfectly with what Peter has been saying for years.
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@JMM33RanMA Whoa! Ya got me beat! We're close on the Providence thing. My grandma lived just south of there and I used to house sit for her while she wintered in Mexico. We also spent quite a few summers in the Bar Harbor area of Maine. Ya got me beat overseas too. A year split between Tel Aviv and the Sinai (I was military), 6 months in Bahrain and my cousin (who is WAY wealthier than me) has a 2nd home in Abu Dhabi. And no, I didn't retain much of the language. I'm pretty good in French because I grew up in Canada and my German is poor but passable. (I was stationed there for a while). Germans laugh at me when I speak but I can get what I need.
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You're not wrong and as a Canadian myself, I would say that an awful lot of our past virtue signaling is coming back to bite us in the ass. Our governments in both parties, have shamelessly catered to certain minority and ethnic groups for many years to the point where they have themselves accumulated a considerable amount of political clout and no one now wants to take them on lest they be cast as racists. @OOL-UV2
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Blockade Russian ports! And yes, I know. That is an act of war. That's the point!
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I can't stand Pelosi and if she goes, I hope she falls in love with the place to the point where she decides not to come back. However, between Russia, China, North Korea and Iran, the US has had significantly more than enough threats made at it to the point where it needs to start calling the bluff on some of them. Long past time we said - "go ahead; make your move. See what happens."
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The transition is not going to be an easy one. Once upon a time, a job in the trades was considered a respectable career choice if not always a very glamorous one. But since around the late 70s / early 80s, there has been such a push to get kids into universities and load them up with "degrees" of one sort or another, that trades and manual labor jobs took on the stigma of being "dirty work" that only lower class losers would do. I graduated high school in 1981 and I remember at the time, we had representatives from several universities come through the school promoting their colleges but not a single trade school..... even though our high school was situated right next door to one! A very common attitude expressed to a high performing student who expressed interest in a trade of one sort or another was - you can do way better than that." Even to this day, government policy in higher education is very heavily skewed towards universities and away from trade schools. The politicians and senior public servants all came up in those days when you looked down your nose at trades people and they've never gotten past it.
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@Rob_F8F He said they do a "fantastic job" or "great job" at it, or something to that effect. That's a little bit ambiguous. If he was talking about volume, he's right, but if was talking about quality, he's not.
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@HannahKenzy What do you mean "my one bad experience/" How the hell do you know how many experiences I've had or what kind? I work in the industry. It is the common consensus that cars built in Mexico have considerably lower build quality and that quality control protocols are a lot lower in Mexican plants. It's also true that Mexican built vehicles have a much higher rate of recall than similar models built in Japan, Germany or even the US and Canada. Those are well established facts. Like them, don't like them, they're still the facts.
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Which chips? The ones they don't know how to make? The ones that are increasingly being made elsewhere? The ones that are designed elsewhere? Return to your toybox, child.
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@MoireFly Your point is probably correct, or at least close to correct. Still, it's a bigger step than I thought the Germans would make.
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Thinking the very same thing!
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I don't give the Biden administration credit for much but I will for this.
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Making friends and influencing people..... in Boston.😁😁😁
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On your 3rd point, agree completely. This is not being said often enough or loud enough. F*ck Africa! If they figure their interests are best served by throwing in their lot with the likes of Putin, let them go right the hell ahead. See where it gets them. And BTW, love and respect to Romania from Canada!
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"I'll take the war in Ukraine for $500, Alex" "Your clue is - The sum total of everything Ukraine has won and Russia has lost so far." "What is absolutely nothing, Alex?" "Right you are for $500!"
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Thank God we've got a secure border so none of this can get into our country...... Wait, hang on........
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@ThomasTomiczek But.... It still has to be done by a human, doesn't it? Either you, or someone else. AI isn't going to do the job for you and won't anytime soon. That is the point he's making. Not the sharpest knife in the drawer, are you?
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They "can" come through it. Whether they "will" come through it remains to be seen.
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Yes; or so the story goes, at least. Been waiting now, for about a quarter century for that fairy tale to come true. Any chance you might be able to enlighten us as to how long more we'll need to wait? @grimaffiliations3671
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Seems like improved radar and a return of several batteries of rapid fire guns or cannons of some sort on ships would solve this problem pretty easily. In fact, I don't know why they're not utilizing this sort of thing against aerial drones instead of wasting obscenely expensive missiles against things which cost a few thousand at best. As others have noted, there's nothing particularly new or innovative here. It seems that our adversaries have studied which defenses we've dispensed with and have gone back to the things those defenses used to guard against.
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Oh I dunno. He's just pulling stuff out of his ass at this point and saying whatever he thinks will win him friends.... or keep the oligarchs from killing him.
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Japan has a very capable navy; by some accounts, the 2nd most powerful in the world after the US navy. And their land an air forces are expanding and modernizing at a rapid rate. It is true that they limited themselves militarily for many years but that attitude is behind them. At the closing end of my own military career, I had the opportunity to work with the JSDF a few times and you could see clear evidence of their change in doctrine. The days of hanging their heads in shame over the past are well and truly over. @mekolayn
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Backed the wrong side? Really? We should have backed Germany over Britain, France, the Dutch and so on? I think you'd better take a little deeper dive back into your history books and see if you can't come away with a little bit more clarified and a little less simplistic and ill-informed view of things @christopherlees1134
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A desperate situation to be sure but I'm not sure sell-out is an accurate description. Is it a sell-out when you're doing the very things you've been saying for three years that you would do? It isn't as though there haven't been warnings. If those warnings go unheeded, then who's really at fault?
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The Poles always have taken it seriously. It's getting the rest of Europe to follow along that's the problem; even now. There are still large swaths of Europe who wish the whole business would just go away somehow and they could go back to living in their comfortable world of fabricated fantasy.
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This is not a serious problem. The other major western powers with their considerable naval assets and their proven willingness to step up and defend their own interests, independent of US assistance will easily........... oh, never mind!
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To call Argentina a dumpster fire is putting it mildly; really mildly. Argentina is what a dumpster fire aspires to be when it grows up. I'm not inclined to put much faith in a guy who can't speak without shouting and who walks around waving a chainsaw but it's hard to imagine he's capable of being much worse than what he's replacing.
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MBS isn't going to do much of anything with regard to Iran without a competent military and he very much does NOT have one at the moment. SA has one of the biggest military budgets in the world and some of the most modern and sophisticated weapons systems courtesy of the US, UK, France etc. but also one of the least effective and competent armed forces anywhere. Even with significant American assistance, SA still cannot best a bunch of rag-tag Houthi rebels in Yemen. Say what you will about that conflict but if the armed forces of SA cannot succumb the Houthis, even with all the support they're getting, they'd better not even think about taking on the Iranians. The Iranians wouldn't be any match for a modern, NATO style force but as things currently stand, they'd kick Saudi butt all over the desert.
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