Comments by "possumverde" (@possumverde) on "Forbes Breaking News" channel.

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  4. The "pro-life" community deserve to be "attacked." They're nothing but a bunch of holier than thou virtue signalers attempting to force their subjective beliefs onto others by corrupting what was intended to be a secular legal code. I'm not exactly a fan of abortion myself but I have no sympathy whatsoever for people who insist on sticking their noses into other people's business only to cry foul when said noses get deservedly punched in response. Those who are anti-abortion are free to not have one. They're also free to voice their opinions against it. They are not however, free to force their beliefs onto others. Period. Abortion bans clearly violate (among other things) the 13th amendment's protection from involuntary servitude. A woman cannot be forced to do the work of carrying and giving birth against her will. There are hundreds if not thousands of rulings where the courts classified carrying and giving birth as a form of work in their arguments. If it's work then the 13th amendment covers it. If the 13th covers it, the 10th amendment can't. Thus, SCOTUS had/has no constitutional grounds to send it to the states. Interestingly, their incompetent ruling also has the side effect of making secession a state matter as well since it isn't addressed in the constitution and is only blocked by a single SCOTUS precedent whose argument is invalid to begin with (Texas v White.) It would be a bit of ironic justice if the pro-choice states chose to take advantage of the situation and leave the union. Said states happen to account for the vast majority of federal tax revenues. It would be a shame if the remaining union were no longer able to pay SCOTUS justices their salaries...or for their protection...and then there's all of the federal assistance nearly all of the "pro-life" states depend on...it'd be a shame.
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  5. Biden's comeback win from mail in voting was nothing odd. In fact it was predictable using information available an hour or so after the in person vote was completed. Due to Trump's major campaign blunder of actively discouraging mail in voting, there was a consistent bias between in person and mail in results in the swing states. Trump received ~80% of his total votes in said states from the in person vote, while Biden received ~40% percent of his. Those ratios were consistent in states where mail in ballots were somewhat close to in person ballots in number. Regardless of who ultimately won the state. In states that weren't allowed to do any counting of mail in ballots until election day, a situation was created where the in person ballots were all tallied before the mail in vote count began. The following example wiil give an idea of just how strong of an effect that can have. Let's say we have a swing state where early counting wasn't possible and we know that the final total will be 1 million votes split evenly between Biden and Trump. If Trump gets 80% of his total from in person, he'll have 400k votes once the in person vote has been tallied. While Biden's 40% would have him at just 200k. Trump has twice as many votes after in person and would appear to be running away with it. However, we know that it will end in a tie. Pretty big difference and yet it's what would be expected given the data available and the unique conditions covid precautions created for this election. With a little effort, an amateur statitician with a decent grasp of the quirks of this election could have predicted Biden's eventual win once the in person data was posted on election night. I would barely call myself an amateur and my calculations from ~1:30 am est on election night ended up very close to the final results (I had NC just barely going to Biden and Ga barely to Trump which ended up being the opposite.) Trump's professionals (with better access to the data and far better skills with statistics) would have known almost immediately after the in person results were available that he had lost. Which is why he held that silly press conference in the middle of the night calling for mail in counts to be stopped while he still appeared to be running away with it.
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