Comments by "Tiago D\x27Agostini" (@tiagodagostini) on "Defense Politics Asia (DPA)" channel.

  1. well that is way smarter than the bang yourhead to the wall both sides did on other moments
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  2. In fact, I think it might be too late if they had not started it a couple of days ago.
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  3. I do not think that push will collapse Zarichne. BEcause the lakes make those lines ery dangerous to support any complex maneuvers as the area where supply lines passes will be too narrow and vulnerable
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  4. You cannot encircle when you are being pushed in all sub fronts. Even if one segment counter attack that never can result in an encirclements. You need at least 2 very strong counter attacks and this seems very unlikely right now. What coudl happen is a counter attack breaking an attempt to close the encirclement.
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  5. Well to be honest, all countries narraet their wars as winning,, until the very last possible moment. That is not his invention.
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  6. The worst part for Robotyne is that it has only 1 supply road and it is very close to Russian front. I think it will fall rather fast when the Russians simply decide to cut it out.
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  7.  @sergeiegorkin7873  Where in hell you take those data? Russia installed capacity is estimated t 67 Million tons, but they have not been able to use their installed capacity for almost 20 years (because economy reasons) Yes probably now during the war they managed to forcefully increase beyond the pure drmand of pre war status. But USA coudl increase as well if it were in a war like Russia (that is why I compered peace time values of both.)
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  8.  @TrevorCrook-c1s  I am not denying china is even larger base economy than US. I am just denying the guy that said Russia produces more than America. On gas and Oil USA when needed can also increase vastly its production, but their govenrment increases and reduces internal taxes on production to not expend their reserves without need (but in a war they would go to zero) I am basing on a few products? The more products you put the worse Russia will look compared to USA. China is a match for USA and that is why China IS a superpower, but Russia can only compete in a very few segments.
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  9.  @dad378  But that cannot change more than a small segment of the front. Also Russians also have ATGM missiles as the Ukranians had (that destroyed so many tanks). 61 tanks is nto even CLOSE to beign enough to PUSH anywhere, at most help in defense. They need hundreds of tanks
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  10.  @dad378  Because that is how battlefield work. You cannot pushy a front with 1 units every 5 km. If you put all tanks together you get a pinpoint advancement and suddenly your supplies are cut and your tanks are dead in water. If you spread them enough to have a safe front logistic wise you have very little pressure (remember russians do have a Crapton of any tank weapons, so much that htey already killed HUNDREDS of Ukranian and Polish tanks). The west tanks will only allow for an advance when they can muster a few hundred, 200 at bare MINIMUM.
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  11.  @jkl9984  there is also .. spies
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  12. I DOUBT they will send troops. Any govenrment that sends soldiers to die there is doomed to lose their elections.
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  13. Not necessarily a total collapse. They although might need to shorten the front. Earlier when Russians had not used conscripts it was advantageous to Ukraine to have a very wide front, nowadasy not so much.
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  14. Also I just watched more images. There was no building leveling. There was not even a n explosion in the building. The building BURNED. The videos are clear, the rocket exploded in mid air more than a hundred meters above the hospital. Then a few seconds later the debris starts to fall on the parking lot, the following fire engulfing the hospital. The whole argument of the hamas rockets being too small simply fails completely now.
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  15. Money implicate in jobs and inflation and other issues back at home. Those implicate in votes. That is what they care on, not the money.
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  16. At 31 min. I don't think you got his point. He is NOT talking on tactical level, but on strategic one. His point is now the US armroed divisions that pushed, but that the GErman forces were CRUSHED and de-organized before any direct contact. IF US army had tried to face Panzer Lehr with only their armored divisions the US forces would suffer HIGH casualities and the advance will be a bogged down. Panzer lehr had enough power and was specially prepared (the german division with highest AT weapons ratio, had 208 tanks (each US armored division had a bit over 120, except 3rd that had 220) and half of those were panthers) to face those armored divisions. His example is that US found a way to NOT face the strongest defenses the germans had available.
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  17. MIlitary are forged into thinking in chain of command. IT if very hard for a career military to speak up in public. They passed their whole lives doutrinated that this is wrong.
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  18. WW2 is bullshit. We will not have any conflict involvign directly 2 nuclear powers so we cannot have ww3.We can have a very big war, but you will Not see a total wra scenario involving europe, USA, Russia and CHina.
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  19. Liquified metal penetrators are not liquid due to high temperature but due to being in a state where too much kinetic energy had been impressed in them. That is simply a HEAT warhead. Heat warheads, contrary to name implies, do not cause damage with heat, but with the fact that liquified copper is incompressible so when it is movign forward the solids in front of it MUST be the ones that are displaced. You defeat that with spaced armor, that is exactly what the cages are already for.
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  20. Not so much, because it lower his position in front of several and that on long run has side effects. That can and will be used against him in moments of weakness.
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  21. They might send rear line logistics, at most.
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  22. naaa these are not analogic systems. Digital systems do not care for signal strenght.. if the sinal is strong enough it will be equalized in the input of its processors. They just need to have a close by transmitter and have broken the modulation of the transmitter.
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  23. Naaa.. China way is not that. They will make always deals, but they will NOT risk a nuclear exchange (and any ANY confrontation between nuclear powers has a high change of nuclear exchange) for a lake.
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  24. Lula needs totry to defuse the situation, because if war starts he will have to abandon his last powerful friend in south america, or he wil have riots here if he dares to suppott venezuela in a war.
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  25. POland historically is not so vulnerable to this because their internal power system , beign much newer is not that connected to the one sin rest of europe and USA.
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  26. I think he lacked experience. HE was not a career politician , so he was probably easy to manipulate by other elements.
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  27. This guy is probably a fake representative. A lower ranking dude with orders of pretending to be a higher position and give fake reports. No one that knows anything about these systems would believe they had perfect score against a tactical ballistic missile but coudl not hit a KH-22. In fact clearly the guy swapped everything. THe KH-22 and its whole family of missiels are cruise missiles, they do NOT fly ballsitic trajectories. THat is exactly what the Kh-47 does.
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  28. I partially disagree, there are a few humans that deserve to die, but they are usually very far from these positions, and usually giving interviews and taking profit in the war.
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  29.  @dad378  But also gave the Russians the time to remake their tactics and train their recruits properly. Now they might have too many soldiers that will bleed to leave the city, that will be risky as hell for ukraine.
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  30.  @stephenhartley2853  I mean if US had a BORDER with ukraine. US could not invade that fast Ukraine itself due to geography.
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  31.  user-nv1zh4vk9m  All these wars Russians started WELL. Now go read what I wrote, I know basic interpretation can be hard, but it helps if you practice a bit.
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  32. I think is accumulated anger from so many failed attempts at Vughledar.
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  33.  @g3koot100  Only for people that have no memory. Check how much Russia lsot tryign to take Vyghledar int he past in disastrous operations.
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  34. Any information on the number of troops of what brigades are involved in Kursk?
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  35.  @yomeroyomismo8212  Europe cannot restock, they are producing less than Ukraine is using.
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  36. No but in case it means Russians are not controlling their borders ( not necessarily that others are) They will create a scenario where Russia will move more troops of the main front to reserve to be ablet o answer to such incursions. That gains time for Ukraine
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  37. Here in Brazil we are so ashamed the direction our govenrment is pushing, to get closer with authoritarian groups
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  38. Omg this war moves so slowly. I do nto see any chance either side has enough manpower to finish this war with this turtle pacing.
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  39. I await to see the following days when media reports Russian are attacking New York and some americans take it too lierally and rush to the stores in panic.
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  40. Because western world has the issue that they prefer to listen to a channel telling the lies they want to hear. That is how western media twisted their audiecne.
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  41.  @msimon6808 The side with momentary disadvantage always is the faster to adapt (it is human nature).
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  42.  @ButlerProspect  That means less than you think They need those reserves to stay in reserves to keep their currency value. US do not need that since their currency being main currency in world. One cannot ever compare US economy with other countries under the same rules exactly because of that. If this were a total war for US they could outproduce Russia, but US politicians do not really care for the war. They care for their own re-ellections.
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  43. Well that would be the very objective of such an offensive. To make Russians move their troops from other fronts
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  44. Well the difference is that at day 1 the russians were also doing badly.. but seems the russians learned more about their mistakes than the Ukraine/NATO alliance.
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  45. Not so simple... first that is hardlya hospital compound, is a medium sized building, and hamas controls all buildings. It would be easy to have explosive preemptively planted there. It is impossible for anyone from outside to know at this point what really happens.. Hamas has only one chance in this conflict that is damage Israel image, for that reason alone I do beleive it is very likely that hamas can very well explode their own hospitals (they are the terrorists that clearly have no problem at all with that )
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  46.  @Awaken2067833758 When they still have their full fuel load they can easily blow up a building (specially these buildings that are very low construction quality) . We will not know any truth if both sides do not allow international observes to check the site.
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  47.  @Awaken2067833758  Then watch the video of the rocket in case. It took off clearly from behind the hosptial and had its engine still burnign when it exploded over the hospital .. few secodns later explosion exactly udnerneath it... and ahuge fire starts. I am really unsure these rockets are solid propelant. Allt he trails we see are too long to be from a solid propelant of low tech.
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  48.  @freedomisdead9638  I think you are the one day dreaming. Ukraine has zero use for money. The package must be used to cover weapons and ammo in USA and Europe and THOSe must be sent. Money is eay to move.. but money do not kill tanks or artillery.
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  49. They can still extract a lot of those soldiers .. and the repositioning of Russian army will buy them a few weeks on other fronts.
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  50.  @Levon_RnD  Amateurs think in troops.. professionals think about logistics, logistic logistics. They do need to redirect logistics and that is MUCH more important than most peopel think.
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