Comments by "LRRPFco52" (@LRRPFco52) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1. ​ @patrickm6012 He described Biden as a real President. "Now that we have a real President back in the WH who knows how to govern based on decades of experience...." He also said Biden and Kamala would win in a landslide.
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  2. ​ @spicychad55  Russians are almost completely unaware of the Winter War. Instead, they are taught that the fascist Finns invaded poor Russia in WWII. I took pictures of the maps showing this alternate reality in the Central Red Army Museum in Moscow. Russians look at Finland as rightfully their territory, lost after the Bolshevik Revolution against the Czars and Finnish Civil War that followed, where the White Finns defeated and exterminated the Red Finns.
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  3. ​ @geneoh5048  Russia has never had a strong economy. It's a very poor, isolated, frozen land mass cut-off from the important global trade routes, with precious little infrastructure to support internal movement of goods.
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  4. ​​ @zolnsalt  Zeihan has been forecasting the Russian invasion of Ukraine for many years, even saying 2022 was the last year Russia has their chance due to population decline and its effects on the available number of conscripts. I've been following his forecasts since the 2000s, since one of the Russian Foreign Minister's deputies said they were taking back all their historic territories in the early-mid 2000s.
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  5.  @harshpatel7250  I know what Saudi Arabia buys because we were involved personally with training them on the F-15SA. Most of Saudi Arabia's military is equipped with US weapons, and they rely on US and British contract maintainers to keep their jets flying, always have.
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  6.  @harshpatel7250  The Norwegians, Danes, Belgians, Israelis, Poles, Japanese, South Koreans, and many other US fighter operators do their own maintenance, otherwise I wouldn’t have singled-out the Saudis for the ineptness and laziness in this area.
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  7.  @harshpatel7250  I’m counting 93 nuclear reactors in the US currently operating per the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission. The US is one of the largest oil producers and refiners in the world. We refine 18.1 million barrels per day. Saudis refine maybe 2.7-3.1m barrels per day, not even anywhere near the same ballpark as the US. This information is all readily-available at the tips of your fingers.
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  8.  @scottthompson8946  I don’t accept the numbers they reported having voted for Biden. The dude couldn’t draw flies during the campaign. He actually drew more hecklers than supporters, not just in the US, but abroad.
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  9.  @Flipflopflopper  Much of the Soviet aerospace industry was in Ukraine, but they also dispersed their military industrial complex to several regions due to proximity to European invaders. They had multiple fighter plants, engine plants, Radar, missiles, small arms, tanks, APC, etc. They set up the manufacturing base as to not have all their eggs in one basket in case they were ever invaded like Hitler and Napoleon did.
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  10. It's crazy how my comment about Keystone pipeline was removed. I don't violate the policies, Don't even use profanity, Yet my factual comments about the historical realities of Keystone have to be censored for some reason.
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  11.  @duelenigma7732  There is no more stable market than the US. Good luck.
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  12.  @HappyCatholicDane  The EU relies on US security, trade, weapons, sea lane patrolling, finance, heavy industries, technologies, medical devices, and alliances. Hundreds of billions worth of trade ship to the US every year with a trade imbalance that favors Europe by about $200 Billion last I checked.
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  13. Small caliber Machineguns suck at anti-aircraft due to limited range. 20mm is a baseline minimum in the AA role for air defense systems.
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  14.  @TD32333  He's correct. Race relations in the US have been agitated by the Soviets for decades. By the year 2000, this had largely been attenuated with decades of achievement and barriers broken down. People saw Obama's candidacy as a crown jewel in race relations, proving that anyone could achieve anything in the US. Obama had the opportunity to spell out a formula for success, but instead, he stirred up racial Agitprop and scraped off the smooth scar tissue, ripping open ideas of animosity, encouraging people to "vote for revenge" in 2012. This makes him one of the most divisive and destructive Presidents in US History. On top of that, he didn't respect the office, and saw it as far beneath him since he had been handed everything in life. Read his books to gain more insight into his character. The hardest job he ever had was an ice cream stand, where he complained about how it hurt his wrist to dig into the ice cream tubs with the scoop. His post-college job was as an economics analyst for a CIA front company, where he complains he was only hired for diversity quota, and could do whatever he wanted without fear of being fired. Again, the public image is totally different from the reality.
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  15. He has pretty lengthy discussions on US debt, where he is not an alarmist like everyone else. There are precious few economists who have studied US and foreign markets like he and his teams have.
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  16. ​ @jamrollz  There are tons of people in republican party who criticize Trump and viscerally hate a because they still watch corporate media and live in professional circles where conformity is essential to maintain their employment.
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  17.  @teh_hunterer  Yup. Tucker took Putin to task repeatedly throughout the interview, especially on Putin’s silly assertions about 1650 borders, Evan Gershkovich, why Putin invaded, the crazy answer about denazification, and frequently interrupted him. Nobody interrupts the Czar, yet Tucker did it in typical Tucker fashion when the interviewee is dodging questions and trying to distract.
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  18.  @ronarnett4811  I was sitting with them in their unit building going over their DIY-built tank crewman simulators, so yeah, I believed them. Didn't have any reason not to.
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  19. ​ @joythought  A thing people don't understand is the US is supplying the Pacific nations, Canada, Western Europe, and Middle Eastern countries with foreign military sales packages based on many years-old defense procurement agreements. You don't just magically fulfill defense article shipments overnight, especially aerospace systems like missiles, Radars, armor, communications gear, ships, vehicles, and even small arms. Most European countries have continued to cut production and capacity for manufacturing these things because of weak parliamentarians who have acted like 1991 was perpetual.
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  20.  @YAMAHA1  Going into Russia felt like traveling backwards in time to a place even my great grandparents would not recognize.
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  21. One of the topics that really helps clarify Peter’s position on Trump is that he intentionally avoids discussions about Trump negotiating more Middle East Peace deals than all the US Presidents combined. This is something right down Peter’s ally, yet he won’t highlight it. Why?
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  22. Peter Zeihan has been talking about this at least since 2000 when he joined STRATFOR. I've been following those analyses since the late 2000s. They would have internal recorded debates where the "China is taking over" senior analyst would politely argue his data, and Zeihan would present and counter with his perspective. It was very interesting and compelling on both sides.
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  23.  @ghhh9012  He totally overlooked the fourth major group of voters who are unaffiliated that don't normally vote. When median home price is outside the reach of the vast majority of working people and they can't fill their shopping carts anymore at the grocery store, they will show up to vote. That you can bet on with 100% certainty.
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  24. PCR was never meant for diagnosing illnesses though. You can search for what you want with PCR and find it, depending on how many cycles you run. It's meant for genetic testing to see family relationships, criminal forensics, and research, not diagnostics.
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  25. ​ @SignalCorps1  Everyone thought it would be over in a month, with an occupation and resistance scenario afterwards. This was predicated on Biden extracting Zelensky from Kiev, but Zelensky didn't play along with Putin's plan.
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  26.  @joestalin2375  Chinese parts are specifically forbidden from these types of contracts. They freak out even when raw materials are discovered to have been sourced for landing gear or magnets.
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  27. The caliph absorbed those things from the Byzantines, the Mediterranean civilizations, Spain, and India. The knowledge of medicine, mathematics, philosophy, and other disciplines has existed throughout various civilizations in history. It ebbs and flows with cataclysms and warfare diminishing it, followed by interaction through trade that expands it. The Sumerians and ancient Babylonians had much of his knowledge, as did the Egyptians, Greeks, and Romans.
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  28. As an avid student of history and the hidden treaties, foreign military sales, and secret history of intelligence & subterfuge for 50 years, it sure feels like we're in a combination of 1871-1914, and 1918-1939.
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  29. I could see the porn and digital entertainment industries being dramatically disrupted by AI.
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  30. Why would anyone compare a FAB-1500 to a Mk.82 or GBU-12 when the 2000lb JDAM is the norm? Maybe someone doesn’t know their munitions that well.
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  31. Since 2020, James Bond and MI movies seem boring compared to reality.
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  32. ​ @quinnjackson9252 CA and NY are trying to force EVs. The bubble just popped on EVs though. Sales rates are going down. Tesla loses $36k on every EV sale. Rivian loses $33k on every sale. Lucid loses $227k/EV sale. People simply don't want them due to all the cons, namely cost, charging, and battery issues.
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  33.  @benhatcher2603  Blue collar and white collar salaries and income are closer than ever before in the US right now.
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  34. Zeihan is way behind the power curve on Greenland. Remember that the native people in Greenland have been wanting independence for generations, and Denmark doesn’t even give them recognition when they try to have their voices heard in the Danish Parliament. Denmark could have made billions on the deal, but now they have to just sit back and watch Greenland’s independence recognized by the US, where the US doesn’t even have to waste a dime. Had this been any other President, Zeihan would have been blasting their virtue in geopolitical strategic thinking louder than anyone.
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  35. Poland’s GDP has tripled since 1990, while Ukraine has stood by and watched Poland benefit from being integrated with the Western trade network. Poland doesn’t want to see it all crumble.
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  36.  @MarcosElMalo2  Herman Cain would have been awesome.
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  37. If you've ever seen industry at work in Russia, things happen much more slowly on a good day. There isn't incentive to get tasks accomplished quickly, just look like you're working. Russian serfdom is ingrained into the people, where common peasants and slaves were tied to the land they lived on, forbidden from free travel, and penalized if they didn't bring crop harvests to their masters. This sense of limited mobility while being demanded to perform for nobles underlies the general attitude of the people, even in the modern era where they can ride the train or drive their cars around.
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  38.  @ChrisAlvarezAlvarezImaging  Or how they inconvenience others. Obama’s most difficult job in his own words was when he worked at Baskin & Robbins. He said it hurt his wrists scooping ice cream out of the large tubs. He also complained that he got a diversity-hire job for a CIA front company doing economic analyses, where his supervisors told him he could clock-in late, take long lunches, and clock-out early. He was verifiably the most unqualified candidate for the Presidency, not even Senate material. Zero executive experience, never managed anything. That’s a terrible recipe for a Chief Executive.
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  39.  @juricakovac5667  I’ve seen more mosquitos in a few hours in Finland than a month in Panama in the jungle. I spent 28 days in Panama for Jungle Operations Training Center in 1997. I have been traveling to or living in Finland since 1979 on and off, since my family is Finnish. Mosquitos in Finland are brutal because of the 188,000 lakes. My wife got bit on her scalp, and those bites turned into cysts that had to be cut out years later.
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  40.  @raquetdude  I've lived all over Europe, especially Northern Europe. I wouldn't refer to it as more modernized. Europe has gone the way of industrialized quasi-comfortable slavery in an urban cubicle model. Humanity is sacrificed towards an ominous state, while filling the digiserfs with constant reassurances of how wonderful grey looks.
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  41. Prescription opiods increase with age due to pain from obesity and inflammation from the Wal-Mart diet.
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  42. ​ @chrisjackson1215  Between the Franco-Prussian war of 1870-1871 and the Great War of 1914, Europe had 31 different conflicts. The only period of European peace was during the Cold War when security decisions were made in DC. Russia still took Hungary in 1956 and Czechoslovakia in 1968, and there were many violent regressions of populations in Eastern Europe who wanted to be free.
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  43.  @ВалентинПузыня  One thing you haven’t learned is that explosive material can be loaded into a lot more things than artillery rounds. The US especially has shifted away from artillery focus to long-range fires from missiles like ATACMS, air-delivered munitions like JDAMs, LGBs, with precision-guided artillery at the bottom. Russians have a hard time understanding any of this because the Russian Army is still stuck in the 1800s mindset, and hasn’t incorporated air power even at a US 1960s-level. What Russia has done better is placing moles like Obama and Biden in high level places to handicap the war-fighters from above. That’s why you see a trickling of game-changing weapons to Ukraine being let out only a little at a time.
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  44. ​ @wor4yn  Individual soldiers have literally no way of assessing casualties for the whole conflict. A soldier fighting day-to-day is less likely to understand the overall theater intelligence assessment, and will only see what's around them. Neither side has motive to report accurate casualty rates because that would provide BDA for the other, who can then see where they're most effective.
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  45. ​ @joemichels4530  IF that ratio is correct, it's because of HIMARS, M777, UAS surveillance and Targeting, plus theater ISR platforms with info-sharing with Ukraine. Russian soldiers have frequently reported that Uk rarely fires artillery, but when it hits, it's dead-on accurate and causes mass casualties, destruction of equipment and munitions storage. Look at what Trump did to Wagner in the Battle of Khasham in Feb 2018.
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  46.  @nunyabidness3075  One thing you see common to most nations is that they are utterly inept when it comes to maintenance, training, logistics, basic soldiering skills, and having any junior leadership. The US-aligned NATO and Australian forces are again exceptions, where we place a ton of emphasis on mx, logistics, junior NCO leaders who know their jobs, regular battle-focused training, and basic soldiering skills.
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  47. ​ @vladimirofsvalbard9477 Teachers have always been babysitters of the state, to train children to conform. Teachers have rarely been academically competent.
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  48. ​ @DerDop Zeihan is better-informed on Europe than anyone else in this space, along with George Friedman. European academics have been intoxicated on the fragrance of their own flatulence for decades, as their parliaments have funneled in their own demise.
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  49. ​ @ebrim5013 The Senate and House Armed Services Committees are more dialed-in than you realize. They get regular classified briefings on all of this, since they are fighting to steer or maintain contracts in their States and districts. They take US military superiority for granted, treating the defense industry as more of a jobs program, even though it isn't among the top 20 industries in revenue in the US. Many of the members of Congress are acting in cohort as Russian and Chinese moles, since they got into office with schemes from Council for a Livable World and CPUSA re-branded under Democratic Socialists of America. One of the strategies the Soviets devised was to waste as much US money on unrelated expenses that deplete money from being spent on the weapons they hate and fear. Congress and multiple White Houses have done a bang-up job of that. Look at how the Bush and Obama White Houses killed the F-22, but funded MRAPs.
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  50.  @Rob_F8F  Those Russian IADS nodes are the first to be targeted with HIMARS and JDAMs. Once you systematically erase IADS nodes, it opens up corridors for you to penetrate closer to more strategic locations. The D-SEAD mission set involves ISR platforms, drones, artillery, snipers, EW, saboteurs, precision-guided munitions, etc. It's very dynamic, not static.
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