Comments by "worn down" (@worndown8280) on "The Podcast of the Lotus Eaters"
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@BaldorfBreakdowns The stats people are citing you are from a study that found and massive disparity of the number of males vs the number of females who are having sex in younger demographic cohorts. And it is massive.
Womens numbers are steadily rising while mens have crashed more than 50 percent. That basicly women are having more sex, with fewer men. Now I dont think its as extreme as most say it is, "10 percent of men sleeping with 80 percent of women", but I think some may be conflating the studies and also surveys taken by women on dating websites that show that women find 80 percent of men non dateable. If they wont even date them will they even consider them for a sex partner, probably not no?
Multiple studies show this including one by Dr. Peter Ueda, a postdoctoral researcher at the Karolinska Institutet in Stockholm, Sweden, the U.S. General Social Survey up until 2018. Meanwhile sex at middle age has utterly collapse. Single men and women, which there are more than ever due to divorce, are no longer mingling. And these stats are all up to 2018, so cant blame the coof. If you would like more studies, I would be more than happy to tell you them.
I totally understand why so many people would be uncomfortable with this data and the evidence it shows. Its damaging to both sides, for different reasons and will effect both men and women in completely different ways. I mean most people dont even see the demographic collapse thats about to happen. People dont understand whats coming.
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@S. Well for one regulation. I am not sure but coding laws in the US are insane. That creates a supply bottleneck, which creates cost increases. Add city planning to the mix, were certain land is approved for certain types of buildings, leads to a bottleneck, which creates price increase.
Take the price of wood. And I am not trying to turn this political, but the Biden Admin levied a doubling of the import tariff on importing of Canadian lumber into the US, this raised the price of lumber. Canada being pissed by this, decreased its output of lumber reducing total board feet. So increased tariffs and lower supply, thats right lumber prices quadrupled per board foot. This raised the price of construction of the average US home by 40k.
Would you want to live in a 1960s home? Worse wiring, no dishwasher, no washer and dryer maybe, so technologically have to spend more to bring it up to what is acceptable now. Increases the cost of a home.
But there is a bright end of the tunnel. And I know you live in Britain, but I am not at all familiar with your housing markets but I am familiar with your demographics map. So in the US, right now we have 2.8 people for every domicile. After the boomers pass, that will drop down to 2.2 to 2.3. Thats massive. Many places in Europe will see larger drops. You will have massive amounts of empty housing. Which will cause what up until the probably 1960s, when the boomers showed up, for residential housing to return to what it almost always was, a depreciation asset. Meaning its will become cheaper the older it gets, like a car. So if you do have kids, know your child or children will have it easier in that regard.
You are already seeing this in Korea and Japan. The demand curve is changing. And if Britain and other western nations stop bringing in foreigners it will collapse markets. And that usually causes governmental change.
Also your mortgage laws dont help. The fact that you cant get a pre negotiated rate for an entire term of the mortgage shocked me. I still dont understand how you can sign a mortgage and have it periodically update by the bank. That sounds absolutely predatory and seems designed to keep people renting. So I get that the US and British housing markets are totally comparable.
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