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worn down
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "worn down" (@worndown8280) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.
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@ian111 Most modern people are blissfully ignorant of the horrors of war.
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@GlacialScion I think you are misundstanding his comment. Its not like Russian soldiers who disagree have an option of just saying, nah no thanks. And they along with the Ukrainians get fed into the meat grinder. Or maybe you dont care, which is fine. But that speaks to his warn porn comment as well.
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@GlacialScion So you agree with him and say yuou disagree. Are you the type who argues just for the fun of it? Because, that was the mans point. You are talking politics between nation states, he is talking about individual lives.
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@GlacialScion Again, nothing you jsut posted has anything to do with that mans post. No one event stated anything about right or wrong. Do you read peoples words or just project your emotions on them?
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This isnt the first time this has happened recently. Its just the first time the media has just outright ignored it. Hes telling people so they know hes right. Again.
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The question is would the US risk its carrier assets? Its easy to throw carriers into areas that are not contested. But putting them into contested waters, with a near peer power, is highly unlikely. Okinawa is only 220 miles away. I think Kadena Air Force base would be the center for attack aircraft. Well within all US aircraft ranges. And there is no risk to the carrier groups. If a carrier group goes down, the US will have no choice but to go all in, then China has nothing to lose. And considering how some of the Ryukyus are less than 50 miles from Taiwan, Japan would probably get involved.
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@beckriv9854 Peter was allegedly a Republican. But he was a globalist Republican, ala George Bush. Globalism in the Republican ranks has been in decline since 2004. But now its on life support. The last gasp of it is its pro Israel policy. But even that will die here in the next decade or so. But this isnt so much a massive change, but a return to what the Republican party was pre Nixon. One might argue that it is an end to the Boomer influence in the Republican party. Republicans are going to be the party of domestic policy and foreign isolation. If one views that as good or bad, well thats just like their opinion man.
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@catherinedalzell3183 Thats because pregnant women slowed production. Many facilities actually paid bonuses so production would remain high. So there was an unintentional social pressure on women not to have children, to get the bonus and make sure everyone else did too, otherwise you are just being selfish. Then there was the soviet era apartment block housing. One bedroom. Hard to bring kids into that.
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Boomers are still the largest home owning group in the US. 44% of all US housing is owned by boomers. As boomers die there will be a housing glut. At best their children will get a house, at worst those children will already have a house and want to sell their dead parents home for liquidity and then down goes prices.
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You assume people in German or Europe will have excess money to buy said cars. With food and energy inflation piling up month over month, they dont now. As things go forward its going to get much worse, economically speaking. Dont forget as these industries shut down all the people employed be them and who are 2ndarily involved with those workers or the production in general will be laid off. If the central government pays them benefits, that will make inflation rise. If they dont, these people wont have any money to spend beyond necessities at least while they have any saved income.
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@slkttop Nah dont even worry about being sorry. Its cool. But I understand where you are coming from. Unfortunately I think Zeihan is right. The world is in for a really bad time. I think a lot of people, even in the US are in for a much lower standard of living. But we can always pray for the best and expect the worse.
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What the Swedes have found is the explosives used were of Russian manufacturing. Now if I was going to blow something up and I wanted to make sure it couldnt be traced back to me, I sure as hell wouldnt use explosives that my nation used. The Swedes have nothing other than that. He could have been the Poles or the Swedes themselves that did it using Russian explosives, unless they have footage. If they have footage why have they been sitting on it for for so long? Lets be honest, no one is clean in this fight.
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State polls are pretty accurate generally. They typically will over or under count every election so you can adjust for them. When you have enough state polls you can do an electoral college simulation. National polls are garbage though.
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@GeorgeOhYesPlease We appreciate that, the simple rubes that we are. lol
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Because their economy is imploding. And no amount of fake book keeping can hide it at this point. If you combine that with the fact that their population is about to implode, maybe not to the extreme Peter states, but still it is going to implode on some level. They simply will be crushed by their own debt. The only way they will be able to survive is by exporting. And you cannot be an export dependent economy and a global currency at the same time. The value would be to high and the price of your good would be as well.
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@jtonxbox1433 Thats because they are to busy paying taxes on money that was spent 30 years ago. Thats what Keynesian economics gets you. Nothing is free. Nothing.
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@joemccarthy7120 Cool story.
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@MrRezillo ah deflection. Nice.
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@bobmorane4926 technically you could use a flywheel. It's old tech. But when they fail it is catastrophic.
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@priceprice_baby you clearly don't understand how power is made or transported if that is your position.
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@TheHigherVoltage clearly. Another storage medium was asked for though.
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@msteele2214 why would a nation, Russia, who has been sanctioned by almost every nation lending material aid to Ukraine need to justify the use of nuclear weapons to those same nations? I think the point is, if the Ukrainians start shooting into Russia, the Russians may be like hey, whatever, whats the worst that can happen?
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@hydeparkist men don't have children. Women do. It's always a woman's choice. Or are you saying the men of the Netherlands have all gotten vasectomies?
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@coscinaippogrifo is the typical woman approachable?
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@pierregibson6699 I get that argument. But you don't have to raise your children like that. I raised my sons to be spartan. To value people, relationships and moments, not things. But most people prefer things because it's easy. Things don't have opinions of their own.
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@JCdental I dig the name, that was a great game. That said, I dont disagree with you. I think the modern world drowns people with choices. Choices that arent even remotely realistic if you want to chose other things well. Many people choose without looking at the long term ramifications. But one has to ask, when does personal choice have to be curtailed for the long term survival of the group? We arent there yet, but if things keep up, we will be there in a few generations. It will be interesting what peoples answer is. I hope I live long enough to see it.
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@JCdental I think economies will implode before we get to that level and that will force people together. Limiting options once again. But I have been wrong, from time to time. What a time to be alive regardless.
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@billpetersen298 it's kind of my point. How do you develope a well quaking and functioning fleet of sub crews when they hit their max dosage on their first cruise? In short you don't. 😂
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@brokenrecord3095 DEI is just social policy rammed into corporations and the government. It is the implementation of modern political leftist theory. And it is an utter failure everywhere it has been tried, from the Secret Service to Microsoft. And then there is the dumpster fire at Disney. Thankfully its eating itself its so incompetent.
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The last time Congress passed and actual full budget and not a continuing resolution was in 1997. After a continuing resolution was passed, they then did additional appropriation bills to fund portions of the government. EVERY YEAR since 1997. If Congress fails to pass a budget they should all immediately be removed from their positions.
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@listener523 Thats just it, there hasnt been a budget since 1997, just continuing resolutions. If there was the Gephardt rule would automatically raise the debt ceiling to whatever the amount that Congress budgeted for.
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@listener523 I mean, if we did we be in a depression. I got a farm with livestock, I'm basically self sufficient. If we went back to 1997 spending, millions would die just from cuts to Medicare and medicaid. At that point it becomes a question if you are ok with that. And if you are, well those folks might do some desperate things. But in general I think we should at least freeze spending. But we have probably already spent ourselves over the cliff now anyways.
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@listener523 If you dont see why a 10% drop of the GDP would cause a depression then there really isnt any additional reason to talk. lol Current spending would get us to that point, just slower. We are well past the cliff at this point. Best we can hope for is time to get ready individually.
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@johnmolloy4878 who was virtue signaling?
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@engr.scotty Are you responding to my comment? If so I am not sure how it relates. Can you clarify please?
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@judewarner1536 market crashes are the forest fire that clears out poorly run or overextended businesses. They are a good thing. Not having them causes these huge mega corporations that gobble everything up.
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@wisenber Yeah that first one really is a cultural thing and can be changed. Same with the third. That 2nd one though, thats biology.
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@jeffr6280 Ah well there you go, more inflation. lol
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This brings to mind what environmentalists told West Virginian coal miners when President Obama did his best to shut down the coal industry. Learn to code. Its funny how people react when the shoe is on the other foot.
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Which one of those nations is ethnically diverse? Its not polite to say, but societies that are racially homogeneous have lower health care costs as different groups of people typically have different medical issues. Take Iceland' degenerative hip disease that pretty much everyone there gets. I bet the cost on those is way low because they make it up on volume. Then there is the way Medicare raises the cost of everything in the US. A lot of folks dont understand that because the Medicare system is so horribly byzantine.
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Considering Polands fertility is 1.38. The future is looking very empty for Poland. At least real estate will be cheaper.
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Morgan Allen its not climate change its the polar vortex and arctic oscillation. La Nina has had an amplifying effect this year on both those things.
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Morgan Allen you only think that because thats what they have told you to think. Its cool. I wont insult you. But we are going to agree to disagree I think.
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There isnt anyone in Washington who knows how to do math, only how to shovel pork into the mouths of people of their states.
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Coming to theaters in Fall of 2025, Waffle House Down. Its for really reals.
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@OriginallyJaseace That election was very similar to the 1992 election with Clinton, Bush and Perot. Almost identical results.
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I am pretty sure he was stating that if you took all the waste material currently sitting at nuclear facilities all around the country and included the future waste from their expected lifetimes, including when they themselves get scrapped, Yucca is full. That said they need to start filling it. Old Harry pulled the wool over everyones eyes when he got the money for Yucca mountain. But odds are it will never see one scrap of waste.
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Yea that sounds good until millions of people start to die. Which is what would happen
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@adamlee2550 Peter is a proud Globalist. Immigration is ok to him. Doesnt matter if its legal, illegal, or against the will of the people of the nation the folks are immigrating too. Its why he is always pushing for Japan and South Korea to open to immigration. Immigration kills national cohesion and enables multinationals to get better trade deals.
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@Skritshell what do they expect as far as harvest with lower fertilizer use, if you know?
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