Comments by "worn down" (@worndown8280) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

@geocam2 Thats what people dont understand. Biden is the only one who can give in and have it not wreck him. McCarthy had to make concessions to become Speaker. If he gives in, he loses his position. And then the House and the government basically stops because the Republicans are a disorganized clown show.
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This is a problem that will fix itself. As the population implodes the nation state will implode taking all the services it provides to the ash heap of history. Women will once again have to leverage their reproductive ability for safety and security. Children at that point become the retirement plan, primarily for the woman since men often die way earlier. This is the way humanity has always been, except for the last 100 years in most of the world.
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Do you think automation would survive a cost benefit analysis with a ever decreasing demand base? Serious question, since you are an automation engineer. If i may ask, is your expertise specific to a certain field?
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Clinton did it in 1995. You would probably blame the Republicans, so its whatever. The debt ceiling isnt the problem, its just another symptom. The problem is that Congress has not passed an actual whole budget since 1997. In 1979 the Gephardt rule was instituted in all budgets. It automatically raised the debt ceiling. But since 1977 there have only been 4 actual budgets passed by congress. Most Americans are utterly ignorant on the maleficence of both parties in Congress. Mostly because the average voter is moronic. But go ahead, stick to your tribalism. You cannot expect to run a fiscally responsible nation via continuing resolutions.
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I like Peter on a lot of stuff. But this is a blind spot for him. He is a pro immigration globalist. I dont understand why though. He knows where that leads.
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@ThatGuyWayOverThere How is the migration "problem", people coming from the middle east and sub saharan africa, caused by Europeans not reproducing in numbers needed to replace their own population? Care to square that circle for me? More like NGOs funded by people who have an agenda, not dissimilar to what is happening and the US southern border. This is a effort to destabilize the west. The question is who is behind it.
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With water and sewage offline, Gaza will become what all cities historically were, disease factories.
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The Biden admin needs a win. Its been loss after loss. I think their position is that being strong against Russia will be seen as a win. And they are broadcasting it more to the domestic audience I think. Its certainly odd seeing those on the left struggle with it and those on the right as well.
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@shirogamiakatsuki2423 And then all their scientists flee to other parts of the world to work on other nations nuke programs. You must be under 25. We have already been here before. Russia doesnt need to be pushed to oblivion. Its a literal battered nation that has ptsd. If you think its going to give up its nukes or even be able to pay to keep them ready, you are mad.
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@watchlover7750 People have short memories all around it seems.
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@shirogamiakatsuki2423 After the soviet union collapsed their nuke scientists went all over the world. Its why India and Pakistan are pointing nukes at each other.
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@shirogamiakatsuki2423 Why does voting matter? Like Republics and Democracies dont go to war. If a nation or a people chose to have a dictatorship thats their choice. If they want a theocracy, thats their choice. What business of it to go meddling in other nations internal matters? Isnt that what the Democrats have been screaming about the 2016 election? Ive already fought in four theaters. You people love cashing checks with other peoples names on it.
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@shirogamiakatsuki2423 The people in China choose time and time again, all through there long bloody history, that they want a strong man. Its no point in fighting against it with them. They would rather live and be slaves, thats their choice. And stop with the straw man arguments. If you want to know my opinion ask. People like you are transparent. I dont give a wet shit about Ukraine. I care about the US and our problems. If I and the US spent all our time and energy trying to slay every dragon and right every wrong in the world, we would exhaust ourselves and die. I blame NATO and US foreign policy over the last decade and a half as much as Russia. But ultimately Russia pulled the trigger, so what. And I am sure Russians were clicking their tongues when the US invaded Afghanistan. I dont think you have bad intentions, you are just incredibly naive, and I am going to guess that you are pretty young and idealistic. Thats not a bad thing in of itself. But if you believe in a cause, you go fight. Dont make others do it for you.
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@ancesthntr The question is how long can they supply those 9 brigades. That will decide if the Ukrainians push through or the Russians repulse them.
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@shorewall South Korea and Japan are always in disagreement. Always. South Korea could be invaded again by the North and the Chinese and if the Japanese offered to help the South Koreans would tell them to go to hell. The Philippines are different. They are a very forgiving people. But they lack a modern military. They are in the process of building a 50 boat navy, but I doubt it will be completed. Most Americans couldnt even point to Taiwan on a map. The US is stepping back from the world. The world is going to need to put its big boy pants on.
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@rasmuslernevall6938 I can tell you, it starts with the letter F. Women can be economic powerhouses boosting GDP so that governments can spend and borrow more money or they can have the next generation. Its hard, damn near impossible, for a woman to do both. Its even harder to do it when you are hitting the lower and middle economic strata of income earners with competition that lowers their wages even further by importing massive amounts of no skill and low skill workers. Find me a nation without the F word and I will show you a nation with either a growing or stable population.
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@landontesar3070 Leaf is being phased out my friend. Their sales never met the production levels. They took losses on each one sold but made it back on government credits.
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Its funny that you mention early automobile history. Electric automobiles were the first, Ben Franklin is believed the first to draw up plans for an electric horseless carriage. In the 1880s in Europe, almost all automobiles were electric until, Diesel came out with his engine and people saw just how much more better and practical it was. When Henry Ford came out with his stupidly cheap Fords, no one could compete and they all died. He would have seen Ford for the genius he was in his business' accumen.
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@TrendyStone range yes, price point without subsidies and recharging issues aside.
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@sebastianlahns8023 If you think teachers teach what they want thats just not the case. They have state mandated lesson plans they have to teach. This isnt the 1970s or 80s anymore. Its why so many got out of teaching. You get tired of teaching lies.
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@ancillarity Russia has tried, twice. Well the Soviet Union once and The Russian Federation once. They were rejected both times.
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@ron88303 The Soviets put missiles in Cuba to counter the US Jupiter missiles in Turkey. Those missiles were not removed until after the Cuban missile crisis. Even today though the US has nuclear bombs, not missiles, in Turkey.
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@j.langer5949 I know right. Its not like one has to approve of Russia's actions to understand why they may feel threatened. Nato should have been shut down after the Warsaw Pact was gone. The Europeans could just form their own military system. But they want US dollars to fund nato. The only people I feel bad for are the conscripts getting pulled in and the civilians caught in the fighting.Europe and Russia can kill themselves for all I care. I mean they wont even say who did the pipeline bombing.
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@xlukas93 We already invaded Mexico. But the North didnt want to admit it into the Union. Why? Because it was south of the Mason Dixon line and would have been slave states. It would have forever shifted the balance of power in the US to slave states.
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@thmphll While you are correct, in some religious groups in the US the fertility rate has dropped, but the average protestant church goer in the US has 2.5 kids, well above replacement rate. Catholics and Morons, not so much. Mormons are now at 2.03 and Catholics at 1.6.
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@allthenewsordeath5772 right. But the fertility rate I was referring to with catholics are those who attend mass weekly.
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@ Thats exactly when immunizations started that drastically reduced the death rates from small pox.
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@DieFlabbergast lmao you say immigration. Thats an incorrect term. The correct term is invasion and forced assimilation by the new ascendant ethnicity and culture. There isnt going to be immigration. This is historically normal. Its just in recent history its been unusual.
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I like how the Navy standing is identical to right before WWII.
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@TrendyStone Which if you believe the Feds own stated current policy would cause them to raise rates higher, no?
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The Republican party has never been a monolith. It was created with one main tent pole, anti slavery. If you agreed with that, everyone was welcome.
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Republicans have backed labor when it was in accordance to their political goals. Same as how Democrats would throw labor under the bus when it was convenient for theirs.
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Hes a globalist. Everything he sees is filtered through that. No such thing as a bad immigrant to him.
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All any nation state has to do is to make bitcoin illegal. Holding bitcoin illegal, just like the US did with gold in the 1930s. Bitcoin is a neat tech, and it will have its place. But as any sort of major currency of exchange, no chance. Its to volatile of an asset.
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The Japanese are trying to do everything they can to keep women int he work force to keep their GDP up as long as they can. Otherwise their nation will be crushed by their own debt. And as a nation that imports everything, going bankrupt will send them back to the 18th century. Seriously no one in the world is addressing the underlying issue. Women arent having children, for whatever reason. Address that, and this problem will resolve. The UN is really clear on this, the quickest way to reduce a nations fertility rate is to empower and educated women. So how do you reverse the effects of that without tearing your civilization apart?
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@dangonzalezb apparently you don't understand how oil and natural gas are bought. Interesting you start off with telling someone to shut up. Are you mentally ill and incapable of civil discussion?
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@dangonzalezb See ya on the field 07
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@secretname4190 Tucker is a Classical Liberal recovering from his neoconservative youth. He is, what in the 1960s, was a Democrat. How times have changed. But people just hear a party name and go all tribal.
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@ClannCholmain I would agree we are at the best time in history materially. But we are literally at the end of a golden age. And the ramifications of that will be significant. I am not sure what beliefs you think I disagree with. I didnt state any. Or are you talking about globalism, which I dont consider a belief? Can you clarify your statement for me?
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@ClannCholmain The US was wealthy before globalism. It will still be wealthy after. If its people will it.
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@ClannCholmain not when you adjust for purchasing power and debt burden.
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People use to have kids in caves and huts made of cattle feces. Economics isnt the issue. This is a cultural damage issue.
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@simonhibbs887 I know, there had to be some sort of dark conspiracy. lol
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This is easily resolved. You increase interest rates. Then it is no longer an economic problem but a political one. That would require the Federal government to reduce spending and address its out of control budgets and unsustainable welfare programs. The side effect will be what should be, most Americans living a much lower standard of living. We can do that the easy way, by increasing interest rates or we can do that the hard way with stagflation. I am pretty sure Congress just chose the hard way with their most recent money spending activity.
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Why would you need to automate when demand will be dropping? The idea is so foreign to most that you cant even conceive of it can you?
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The Leopard 2 has never been in tank to tank combat to my recollection. The Germans may fear that it will not stand up to the trials of combat. Lets not forget Arms industries are part of national GDP. And as we have seen with Russian weapon systems, they dont always meet expectations. There is more than just sending the Leopards to Ukraine, from the German position.
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The pie has gotten bigger, its a mud pie worth nothing, but its still a pie.
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@GaryBickford And it was all done on debt. Thats future spending that cant be done. It was never sustainable. The next few decades will show this.
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