Comments by "R136a1" (@HR_8035_YEA) on "Professor Gerdes Explains 🇺🇦 " channel.

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  22. Maybe many of the assumptions we hold about Russia are just plain wrong. We thought the Russian military was modern, competent and powerful. We thought Russia was run with a similar level of efficiency and competence as most Western countries. We thought the FSB and other key state instruments were well run. It could have just appeared that way because there was in fact very little dissent inside Russia. We thought of Russia as being a nation state rather than a more fluid, mafia-like organisation. We underestimated the extent to which Russia appears to have been hollowed out by the corruption of Putin, the oligarchs and anyone else who could steal a piece of the pie. Perhaps Putin's leadership and strategic thinking skills have been vastly overestimated. People keep claiming to see some mythical 4d chess rather than failure and plain incompetence. None of this make sense because we have yet to clear away all our false assumptions about Russia. Maybe it would help to stop overestimating Russia and over analysing events. Start taking events at face value more often. If we do that it's obvious that Russia is far weaker than anyone could have imagined before the war. It's also obvious that Putin is very weak. Why else would there be any negotiation with Prigozin? If Russia was even close to being the power that they claim, there would have been no need for negotiations. Prigozin and Wagner would have been crushed like a bug. That would have acted as an effective deterrent to any potential usurpers in future.
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