Comments by "" (@thomasherrin6798) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1. Tubervile is using the military promotions blocking rule because he doesn't like the military helping out with abortion healthcare, which seems to be along the lines of what Peter indicated, which is what is on Google!?!
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  2. ​ @dw620  In the pockets of the Elite in another Arab country!?!
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  3. ...and with more breakthroughs in technology, the UK is set to be EV and hybrid only in 2030, and ev only in 2035, similar to the rest of Europe who are zero CO2 emissions by 2035, the major reason for this is no real oil reserves so the changes have to be made, the US favouring larger vehicles and have oil reserves even if it's to pay for the stuff they import, might take a little longer!?!
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  4. He wants America to feel good about itself, it may or may not happen, the war in Ukraine is still ongoing once this is "complete" (Rather than paused awaiting round 3) and the revisions taken place due to the effects of the war in Europe and Russia are known, and China's economic and political trajectory is more fully known under Xi's third term, then the cast iron decisions will be made for the future, a lot of temporary Plan B's are in operation at the moment!?!
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  5. Putin's regime is not Stalinesque, more like a dim witted Al Capone!?!
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  6. ​ @KevinLyda  It might help if they take the responsibility for their own actions, whatever problems they face other people face a lot worse without drugs, and taking drugs does not improve the situation, it makes things considerably worse, the on/off switch is in their heads, not anyone else's, they just have to build up their will to do it!?!
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  7. ​ @scottanos9981  Addicts are weak willed people who cannot take responsibility for their actions, whatever problems they face, drugs will not improve it!?!
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  8. ​ @larryclemens1850  They don't take responsibility because they are full of excuses, it is down to them, nobody else can make them change.
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  9. China has the most profligate housing crisis by far, makes the West seem frugal, London property prices are kept artificially high by investors to an extent, but housing in 2023 and 2024 in the UK is set for a downward adjustment due to high interest rates and a mild recession, but because of a lack of space for building new homes the UK market will remain at a higher premium than its major European neighbours!?!
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  10. 50 years at current reserves and consumption it is not unlimited unlike wind, solar, geothermal, hydro and tidal and it's not coming back, but batteries should be a lot better before then!?!
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  11. But China does have a politburo, Xi has taken it over with his faction at the top level and surpressed all dissent, this could easily happen in Vietnam, Autocrats don't fit!?!
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  12. Have you seen it? I suppose he does go out in sunlight though!?!
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  13. ​ @skp8748 ......or Trump the "possible" jailbird, if he gets five years that's a life sentence!?!
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  14. Well obviously Putin should have mobilised more troops by now to make up for the losses, his reluctance to do so tells volumes about the disarray the extended war is causing in Russia, he will most probably call another partial mobilisation as calling it a full war will definitely be more problematic as the Elite's children will have to explain why they are not on the front lines etc.!?!
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  15. Russia is barbarically hostile and everybody should be aware of that, they should also be aware that Russia is failing to meet its own lofty ambitions because reality gave them a kick in the teeth, the Wider West should fully support Ukraine until Russia is booted out, that is the best result for the war in Ukraine, however Russia will still be a bad neighbour!?!
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  16. A sizable minority are like Hamas to cats and dogs!?!
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  17. Who!?!
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  18. In Wikipedia it's name, under "other", is "360 bridge", because it's part of the 360 Motorway ("Oops better say highway because "highs"? travel on it!) loop!?!
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  19. British lithium projected reserves are 100 million tonnes, the biggest in Europe, but that might not be economically extractable!?!
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  20. Digital currencies are a dead duck, they lost over 2 trillion usd in the last five years due to corruption!?!
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  21. Germany will be energy broke if they don't significantly change their tune, they import over 75% of their energy and rely on 25% of renewables and nuclear (6% Old Nuclear which is due for imminent shutdown). They need 25% New Nuclear, 50% renewables and 25% carbon, including coal, so that should be their 10 year plan, or just pay for cheap Russian energy, it doesn't affect you what Russia does with the money, it's up to them if they want to cause destruction and carnage, as long as it's somewhere else, right!?!
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  22. Eventually!?!
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  23. The West is not going to blockade Russia at present or under present circumstances in the near future, he is presenting it as an option if Europe so chooses (If Russia attacks NATO directly that will change), Ukraine can legitimately target Russian ports as they are targeting Ukraine's infrastructure, and that "will" happen in the future. The US or Europe is not "desperate" just going through a mild recession, our currency hasn't fallen 40 to 50% or our biggest revenues have not fallen by half, or we are not in day 500 and odd of a three day war, that would be Russia comrade!?!
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  24. It does matter they only have so much gold, not an unlimited supply, and if the Rouble falls when they sell energy to China, India and Egypt they will get less for it. For example the gold they hold is worth 156 billion but the money they lost on the currency this year is 50% so far, total energy exports for Russia is 150 billion for 2023 to date approx. (A big reduction on previous years for energy export) so the currency loss is 76,500,000 USD half of the gold reserve so far, they still have all their bills to pay, however like Peter says services and infrastructure in Russia will be taking a dive (Except for maybe Moscow and St. Petersburg!) but Putin still has to fund a war, and pensions and the home security to stop uprisings and the like, the figures never lie and Russia is bleeding red, and although the citizens so say support the war they will not remain silent if it starts looking bad!?!
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  25. ​ @罪有英德-o2s  Is China's situation worse then, because it cannot be better with the systemic problems it has, are you sure you are fully aware of problems facing them, not from the West, but the big ones of their own making!?!
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  26. ​ @DellDreamer  It's his opinion, based on historic trends, it does not mean it will happen, for example with India he gave reasons why it should prosper in most circumstances and listed them, however if India were to go to War (Highly unlikely but not impossible) with someone it would change those circumstances. He ruled out China expanding for explanations he has given on previous videos, which given that, their present course seems to fall in line with what he was saying. If however China changes its approach it will have a different ending but it doesn't look like that at present, they are assuming they are too big to fail, but the World has "coped" without China during the zero COVID lockdowns!?!
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  27. Blah, blah, blah, the Earth is going to die in 7.5 billion years, what you allude to is man scale and not planetary scale, it's not going to happen anytime soon and they have found a Planet B if ecos want to go there, it's a load of wadscollop and no we don't want to pay through the nose to energy companies we will use what is economically available, in the UK CO2 pollution is less than 1%, China is 29%, US is 20%!?!
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  28. The Bi-Polar split is a little one sided at the moment, the Autocrats have the ability of trashing their economy at a remarkable rate, their ambition outstrips their ability to pay for it, resources are located everywhere, it is the reluctance to mine for them that is hampering the Europeans, especially as it's readily available from other continents at present!?!
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  29. ​ @bighands69  That is the reason why Russia hasn't set a total war, it's economy could not fund it, it will not be able to fund this "limited" war, it is already too costly for its anaemic economy, but that might not be enough in itself to deter Putin in the short term, and he has rather burnt his bridges with Europe, although France and Germany "might" be dragged back, nobody else will and it will cause a fissure in the EU!?!
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  30. ​ @aon10003 "Paid for saying something like that"?, Russia is far more inept now than they were under the Soviet Union until the last two decades of its reign, that is. It's a Jack Russell acting as a rottweiler, yes they maybe can destroy the world with nuclear left over from the Soviet era, but starting with them first!?!
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  31. Russia has independent contractors (Murderous thieves) in Ukraine, so as it's Ukraine territory, they can also have contractors or volunteers!?!
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  32. I just aWOKE (Mischievous cough) to your comments. I am expecting an exasperated stare and a rapier like verbal thrust to cut my retrospective attitude to shreds and leave me in a pool of intellectual morbitude, but Its just banter, I then proceed to manspread!?!
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  33. ​@@user-cs5rr1it9l Russia is illegally under international law invading Ukraine a sovereign state, it is day 500 and odd of Russia's three day war, they should just leave before it gets a lot worse for them!?!
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  34. ​@@user-cs5rr1it9l Russia's energy revenues are down 50%, they will be the fifth biggest economy in Europe in 2024 when Italy overtakes them, their economy is one twentieth of the Wider West, and Europe will never again trust Russia to be it's energy partner because they are untrustworthy, and by 2030 Europe will be majorly renewable energy independent, and by 2035-2040 will be energy independent!?!
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  35. ​ @HiwasseeRiver  New? - they have been training for most of last year, it's one of those things Russia habitually lies, Ukraine generally reports events as they happen unless its strategic, time will reveal all as Russia sending missiles will become pointless if further air defence equipment is deployed, it does not look good for Russia, and it's gone past 3 days, in another six months Russia will be seventh strongest army in Europe, perhaps that's why it is trying to hide under China's coat-tails!?!
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  36. I think he's having trouble with his contact lenses, it's the second time his eyes have been wayward!?!
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  37. The UK will be the biggest economy in Europe by 2030-2035, our current problems have been caused by Mainland EU countries crashing all of Europe's energy market by being reliant on Russia, France looks a lot sicker than us at present and Germany has big systemic problems going forward, if we got rid of all the remoaners we would be on our way!?!
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  38.  @pyrioncelendil  Yarp, lignite is most probably a greater threat to health (....and definitely the planet) long term than a unlikely new nuclear accident (Chernobyl deaths 3500 total, lignite related deaths in Germany "per year" 3,500 to 4,000 approx. Wikipedia), but hey, there's tonnes of it in the backyard, and use scare tactics instead of facts. It is needed as a base load (25%) until the energy storage problem is 3,000% more efficient!?!
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  39. Germany and Nuclear, it's "dangerous" say the politicians, well if you are going to run it like a "Soviet State Model" maybe, Chernobyl claimed 3,500 lives total, the Japanese Nuclear incident (I'm not going to attempt to spell the plant name!) following a tsunami claimed around 2,100 deaths, all are regrettable, but lessons have been learned for new nuclear builds, but lignite related deaths in Germany are 3,500 to 4,000 "per year", and nothing is done about that, but I suppose it's in Germany's back yard, so it's o.k. (All info. from Wikipedia)!?!
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  40.  @breadbread4226  It's nuclear, lignite is not really coal, it's like burning peat, it's sooooo17th century!?!
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  41.  @maciejkarpinski708  The price of Russian energy is to much to pay in human suffering, so you burn your energy in Russia, as long as it lasts, and your Chinese masters will keep you on a short leash, Russia will rue the day of Thursday the 24th February 2022!?!
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  42.  @daniellarson3068  Yarp!?!
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  43. Well apparently they voted Xi in by a majority so if it all goes pear shaped they only have themselves to blame!?!
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  44. ​ @fathead8933  They have always had the manpower but not the tech., they are all right fighting at home, not so good abroad!?!
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  45. ​ @ericposey-vt5ej  Apple invested in agency companies to carry out the work for them, these companies are diversifying to India, Vietnam and the like!??
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  46. Russia will hopefully lose in Ukraine and it will be a bitter enemy and will still cause trouble for its neighbours, the mentality of its regime and a majority of Russians are beyond reason, however its economy and appetite for war will curb its imperialistic tendencies. Russian may split up into regions if its economy fails but that may require another year of intense war to drain it's coffers and leave it with a massive debt!?!
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  47. They would make more energy by burning the money, obviously it is still a long way 'orf!?!
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  48. Find new land!?!
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  49. ​ @secretname4190 Some aspects might not materialise when looking into the future, but there are elements which make independence unwise, it is at the end of the day (Well after about another 20 years) up to Scotland, the SNP is not a good party to base a country on, they criticise the Tories but their record is far worse, but you pay the money you take your choice!?!
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  50. Africa is forecast to have a population explosion as is India and Pakistan, as they are the countries least capable of sustaining a massive increase in population, without conflict, it seems that there is trouble ahead!?!
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