Comments by "Ivancho" (@ivancho5854) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1.  @none3763  Protecting against sea drones is actually much more difficult than against air drones.
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  2. ​ @kth6736 Iran is far less competent militarily than India. This is because their military is really just a domestic police force now that Iraq is destroyed. Iran is constrained by their geography, so will never be able to have a navy of any size (which is why they are betting on missiles and drones). Also Theocracies tend to be bad at everything IMHO. All the best.
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  3. Perhaps someone who is a patreon would ask Peter what his geopolitical views are about Europe importing ver large numbers of Muslims. Thanks. I personally cannot afford any type of subscription.
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  4.  @markbernier8434  Because the West still doesn't enrich enough uranium, so we are reliant on Russia and Kazakhstan, which is under Russian influence.
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  5. Renewables will not be a solution for Morocco. Your only assets are, as far as I'm aware, phosphate and you buy arms from the USA. The phosphate is essential, which is good, but whoever controls the mines will export it, which less good. Algeria will probably either get invaded by France or arms from France, my bet would be invasion. I suspect that Morocco will be ok as it should survive because of phosphate, but it's not worth invading. Your biggest threat is likely that you might not be able to feed yourself, but wars are a solution for population control and if France needs North African colonies again then a war between Algeria and Morocco would reduce Algerian capabilities. I suspect that the world is returning to more Machiavellian state politics.
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  6. ​ @Movetheproduct I think that there's an over reliance on gas. I'd be happier with more nuclear and even coal.
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  7.  @0my  They certainly are openly contemptuous of the people and the democratic process. Many of those in power in the EU are appointed and not elected, so their attitude is hardly surprising.
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  8.  @Double_Vision  Do you mean that we need a bigger door? 🤣
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  9. Agriculture has been hammered here in the UK for decades, but if necessary I'm pretty confident that we could be virtually self sufficient. Everything would cost more and some things would be unaffordable, like avocados and soft fruit out of season, but that's ok. We still have open sea lanes and can keep most open because we have the Royal Navy. The US will be virtually unaffected. The rest of Europe will cope, as will most of South America and Asia. The Middle East and a lot of Africa could someday be screwed, but maybe then they wouldn't support those who are actively trying to tear the system down (I'm looking at you Yemen, who relies on food aid from the UN) - it's a choice. We are not responsible for them and never have been, we've just become too soft. We have to get really tough and prioritise ourselves. All the best and remember - fear sells.
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  10. How much aid did Slovakia get from the EU? Because Scotland won't get a single Euro.
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  11. Bingo! We have a winner. Seriously, I'm very afraid that you could be right. ♥️🇺🇲 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  12. ​ @concernedaussie1330  Yea, bank confiscations could be real. Australia will crash VERY hard, probably more than Canada.
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  13. 🇬🇧 am I nothing to you? 😂 Seriously, two carrier groups and some top of the line hunter killer subs are not to be sneezed at. God save the King. 🇬🇧
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  14. ​ @fickle1207 Very well said. It's like this all over the West. Lots of politicians and not a single statesman.
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  15. You should not delay leaving Russia. I know that it's hard, but if you value your life you should act before the coming enlistment waves. Also when economies slow one of the first things that they do is stop immigration. Act soon. Best of luck. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  16. ​ @hawklord100 Yea kind of, until South Africa sells gold on to the market.
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  17. The reason that we had a huge movement upwards in the price of gold was because the Nixon (?) ditched the gold standard.
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  18.  @MrDamon888  Yea, I agree. His whole argument doesn't really make any sense considering that Russia has nukes. That is the one question that I'd like to hear him answer as he may have an excellent reply, but until he does I think that the 2022 invasion of Ukraine was 100% about Russian internal politics. All the best. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  19.  @Jimmy_The_Goat  Yes, those numbers sound right. I believe that with sufficient material assistance from the West that number of troops will be able to hold against Russia and then later as the Ukrainian numbers rise they can concentrate to push back at selective locations. Considering that an attacker requires 3 to 5 times the number of troops to advance than the defender, Ukraine should be in a favourable position. I have heard Peter talk about how Russia has trained for a war where they just destroy cities with artillery. Well, it looks like their artillery will be out ranged by Ukrainian counter battery fire and drones. Since 2014 Ukrainians have planned for Russia's invasion and prior to this year 400,000 Ukrainian troops had combat experience in the east of the country. It certainly looks like the Ukraine has trained for this war better than Russia! All the best Jimmy. Slava Ukraine!
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  20. Because technology could mean that Russian nukes become outdated eventually.
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  21. ​ @rainbowodysseybyjonlion Ummm, I'm not so sure about that. If the KSA and Iran went head to head, I suspect that Israel would happily let the two slug it out hoping that the end result would mean that both would be severely weakened. Ok, during the chaos we might find that Israel destroys some Iranian stuff, but I don't think that they would do much more. Anything else just isn't in their interests. The KSA and Israel are currently close solely out of convenience, deep down they are enemies. Of course I could be totally wrong, but I doubt it. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  22. I suspect that it can help to a degree with military production (especially ammunition and missiles) which seems to have a lot of demand currently and probably for the next decade.
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  23. Exactly. My first thought was Pearl Harbour. Actually Hawaii as a target would still make sense. 😬 Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧 And freedom for Taiwan. 🇹🇼🇬🇧
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  24. Yup. Just for laughs. 😂
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  25. Agreed. The Jones Act is still vital for US interests. A huge change is necessary to increase waterborne traffic. Opening it up to foreign interests which are at odds with America is not one of them however. I'm not American and even I can see that. Just look at the recent mess of British ferrys to see how a repeal of the Act would work. All the best.
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  26.  @6140LIBRA  Not a problem with the women. 🤦‍♂️
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  27. ​ @mermadone6465 The US was reluctantly drawn into WW1 & 2 in Europe, not because they wanted to assist the Allies, but because they had to. After WW2 the US rationally thought that if they have to fight Russia, then they would have to station equipment and men in Europe and if they were going to do that then the US may as well be in charge. Hence NATO is formed and the US calls all of the important shots. Now we have Russia in Ukraine and without NATO equipment (90% of which is used and about to be scrapped) they would have succeeded in taking the whole country. So why should the USA care? Well, Putin has stated that after Ukraine comes the whole of the former Warsaw Pact. Theses countries are all in NATO and if Russia invades we get a nuclear WW3, which no one on earth can avoid. That's why the USA is giving Ukraine support. Unfortunately most people find this scenario too complex to understand which is why I'm grateful to have intelligent people in our military. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  28. Or maybe he's filming... in the morning?
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  29. Judging by what he offers on Patreon it doesn't look like he has anything else to offer which isn't at the margins. But ultimately there is he must be paid enormously well, yet wants more, more, more and we are all "cheap". I presume that his donations are tax deductable. Cheep, cheep, cheep.🐤🐤🐤
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  30.  @cugelchannel4733  Correct. It was unbelievably horrific, which is why I mentioned Belgium. At a stretch Belgium may sidestep responsibly as the colony was technically the King's personal possession, but I don't think that excuse is either legally nor morally justified.
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  31. I sure hope that US politics stabilises soon, not just for the USA, but for the rest of the world too. And yes I know full well that no system is perfect (I'm a Brit 🤣), but we have bigger issues to focus on IMHO. The West needs more grown up statesmen and fewer childish politicians. Cold War 2 is here. All the best everyone. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  32. All of Europe has a gigantic problem regarding immigration. No country is yet to decisively address this. The EU is emphatically for it, though for the life of me I cannot understand why. Any country's politician who is pro-immigration will soon be voted out. Energy policy is another subject which the EU clashes with both reality and the people. I don't think that these these two problems can be resolved with the current EU structure. I think that something will break soon and I don't think that the EU will survive in its current form. I actually hope that the EU is torn down and replaced with what it originally was - a trade union, nothing more.
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  33. ​ @Neon-Covenanter He's probably talking about WW2. I would add WW1 in too. The USA got dragged screaming and kicking into both (after trying to profit as much as possible before entering, but hey that's business). I fear that it will happen again. I think that China will be relatively easy to defeat, realistically Russia is hard, though I would love that. All the best. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  34. Wow, that's harsh, but maybe a true assessment. Long live the UK. 🤞
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  35. No. Vodka hurts Russia. Leave it alone.
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  36. Shhh. 🤫 You'll ruin a good clickbait video for those who will be scared of covid for the rest of their lives despite what anyone says.
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  37. I used to be in this field and I can tell you now that it's Western companies and workers who dominate it and we won't be going back to Russia for decades. The companies lost too much and it's too dangerous for personnel at any price point. So who's left? Indians are competent as individuals, but lack the companies and the Chinese are remarkably incompetent in this and most industries. So the Russian oil and gas sector will continue to burn and crumble to dust. They shouldn't have picked a fight with Ukraine.
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  38. ​ @paulranderson6991 The change over happened in 18 hours, but the planning and preparation took years. Having said that I totally agree with you. This has been a known issue for Ukraine and neighbours for over a year. Being generous they should have been laying track for the last 9 months. If it hasn't happened it's probably because of vested interests, rather than incompetence, considering that Ukraine has demonstrated how efficient and innovative it can be fighting this war. Agriculture is Ukraine's primary export and the revenue from that pays for the war. Someone needs to get the finger out and change the gauge to Europe's. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  39. ​ @wiser3754  British here. Please don't look at the UK's nuclear energy and extrapolate that this is the cost of nuclear outside of Europe. The UK has spectacularly increased the cost of building nuclear due to incredibly poor management, constant government tweaking and government regulations designed to make new nuclear power plants unviable. The true cost of a nuclear power plant even in the USA would be a fraction of this.
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  40.  @dfgyuhdd  Really?! Wow. Though now you come to mention it in ways I'm not actually that surprised. I'm in my late fifties and when I was at school there were a few pupils who were plain stupid (because back then we had something called honesty), but really really the percentage was less than 5% and that's ok because they got menial jobs which need done. Today in my child's class there are probably over 20% who have some condition. The rest are normal, actually the rest out perform which probably reflects better the education system, but of those who can't that's a 400 to 500% increase (at least!). This is in a middle class area and this class is not unique. Every class is about the same, between 20% to 25% of them have special needs. And before someone chimes in, it's definitely not because of over diagnosis, these kids have real problems. I know that when I was at school there were special needs schools which reduced the visible numbers, but not by much as I had experience of that personally and those schools concentrated on physical disabilities. I don't know what is happening, but it's kind of terrifying.
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  41. ​ @sumotony It's just a pipe. A pipe is easy to repair, even for Russians.
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  42. ​ @davidwburkhart Time will tell now if it was genetically modified (gain of function) as we are now allowed to discuss this. I saw an Indian professor on YouTube a while ago explaining the reasons why he was 100% sure that it was altered. It sounded convincing, but honestly there are so few top level experts who could critique this that I don't know. Also India is not exactly unbiased towards China. All the best.
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  43. The ground is still not hard enough for Ukraine to advance yet. Donetsk in particular will be very challenging. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  44. Wow! Great news. 👍 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  45. I'm not. China is heading to having sanctions imposed upon them, which they may not survive. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  46. ​ @shelleyscloud3651 It's also religion. And some cultures are formed by religion. The solution must come from Europe as the United States has a blind spot about freedom of religion stemming from the formation of the country. I suspect that a few more well travelled Americans know the truth, but it is a taboo subject. The vast majority of Americans are Christian and so they can afford to think like that. We in Europe because of the large percentage of non-Christian immigrants know better. Some religions can never integrate and fundamentally want to destroy everyone who isn't them. This is the biggest problem which Europe ever has had to deal with and we avoid the topic whenever possible because a peaceful solution is not possible. So every year it gets worse and worse until it gets so bad that action is unavoidable. I'm afraid that this will end very, very badly.
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  47. ​ @victor38542 Look a little deeper and you will find that everywhere where they aren't vastly outnumbered there are problems in East Asia.
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  48. ​ @manmonkee Being Scottish and having spoken to many pro-independence people over the years I am constantly dismayed by how little logic plays a part in their stance. Nationalism is one of the easiest forms of politics - it's easy to convince people that everything wrong is your big neighbour's fault.
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  49. Yup. 😐
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  50.  @shelleyscloud3651  I am talking about a post independence scenario, not whilst we were a part of the EU. Again, but clearer I hope: In the future Scotland will not get a single Euro from the EU IF it becomes independent, until it joins the EU. And even then it is not guaranteed. The Eastern Block countries which joined the EU received aid from the EU to improve their physical, governmental and judicial infrastructure and not to fund economies which had structural issues. Scotland already has a sound political, judicial and physical infrastructure so would not qualify. There was also a huge political consensus for security reasons to help Eastern Europe, which again does not apply to Scotland.
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